Football · USA MLS · 24/10, 19:30

Prediction: CF Montreal vs Nashville SC

Team pages: CF Montreal · Nashville SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

CF Montreal1.13

Nashville SC1.77

1X2

23% 26% 51%

CF Montreal Draw Nashville SC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CF Montreal 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Nashville SC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CF Montreal 1–2–3 Nashville SC (6 last)

Nashville SC1-0CF Montreal
CF Montreal1-1Nashville SC
Nashville SC3-0CF Montreal
CF Montreal0-0Nashville SC
Nashville SC4-1CF Montreal
CF Montreal1-0Nashville SC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nashville SC (rating 1425 vs 1576).
H2H favours Nashville SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CF Montreal	Nashville SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	2.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	2.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.91

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 20:35

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.16 → 4.77▲	Pinn 4.77
X	4.17 → 4.42▲	Pinn 4.42
2	1.71 → 1.61▼	Pinn 1.61

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:42 +48’	4.16	4.17	1.71
05:44 +44’	4.22▲	4.23▲	1.72▲
06:35 +49’	4.68▲	4.38▲	1.63▼
20:22 +13’	4.77▲	4.42▲	1.61▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montreal 1–2–3 Nashville SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/07/26 USA MLS	Nashville SC	1-0 HT 0-0	CF Montreal
04/10/25 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-1 HT 1-0	Nashville SC
23/03/25 USA MLS	Nashville SC	3-0 HT 0-0	CF Montreal
26/05/24 USA MLS	CF Montreal	0-0 HT 0-0	Nashville SC
05/05/24 USA MLS	Nashville SC	4-1 HT 2-0	CF Montreal
22/06/23 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-0 HT 1-0	Nashville SC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	30	20	7	3	64	23	67
2	Inter Miami CF	30	15	10	5	73	51	55
3	New England Revolution	30	16	4	10	49	41	52
4	Chicago Fire	30	14	6	10	52	44	48
5	Charlotte FC	30	13	8	9	53	45	47
6	Philadelphia Union	30	13	7	10	61	48	46
7	Orlando City SC	30	12	5	13	58	70	41
8	New York Red Bulls	30	10	6	14	39	56	36
9	FC Cincinnati	28	9	9	10	60	68	36
10	Toronto FC	30	8	12	10	46	55	36
11	New York City FC	30	8	10	12	43	41	34
12	DC United	29	7	12	10	37	51	33
13	Columbus Crew	29	9	5	15	44	47	32
14	Atlanta United	30	8	6	16	37	51	30
15	CF Montreal	30	6	7	17	36	60	25

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CF Montreal	Nashville SC
Toronto FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
FC Cincinnati	3-1 W	4-0 W
Columbus Crew	0-2 L	3-2 W
Inter Miami CF	1-7 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nashville SC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CF Montreal

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
15/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
10/10	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
27/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
20/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
13/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
10/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-1	1-2	11	3	L
06/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-0	0-2	1	8	L
30/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	1-7	6	3	L
23/08	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-1	2-2	6	3	D

Nashville SC

WWDLDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
15/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	3-0	4-0	7	0	W
11/10	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
27/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	2-0	2-0	9	1	W
20/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
13/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
10/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	1-2	8	1	L
05/09	New York City FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
30/08	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
23/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-0	3-2	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nashville SC win (51%). Probabilities: CF Montreal 23%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 51%.

How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?

The model expects 2.9 goals (CF Montreal 1.13 · Nashville SC 1.77), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.