Prediction: AD Confianca vs Barra FC
Expected goals: 1.97 (AD Confianca 1.17 · Barra FC 0.8). The model gives 44% home, 31% draw, 25% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, AD Confianca sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while Barra FC arrives on a 1-5-4 run.
| AD Confianca | Draw | Barra FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD Confianca | Barra FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Brusque | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Paysandu | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Ituano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | Volta Redonda | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Amazonas FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Caxias RS | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 12 | Botafogo PB | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 16 |
| 15 | Ypiranga RS | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | AD Confianca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD Confianca | Barra FC |
|---|---|---|
| Guarani | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Floresta EC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Figueirense | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Inter de Limeira | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Barra FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD Confianca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 15/06 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Gremio Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Barra FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Corinthians Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD Confianca vs Barra FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Confianca win (44%). Probabilities: AD Confianca 44%, draw 31%, Barra FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in AD Confianca vs Barra FC?
The model expects 1.97 goals (AD Confianca 1.17 · Barra FC 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in AD Confianca vs Barra FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.