Prediction: Itabaiana vs Brusque
Expected goals: 2.02 (Itabaiana 1.06 · Brusque 0.97). The model gives 36% home, 32% draw, 32% away. Over 2 goals (50%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Itabaiana sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Brusque arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Itabaiana and 0 for Brusque, with 1 draw.
| Itabaiana | Draw | Brusque | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 37% | 31% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Itabaiana | Brusque | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 3.9 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Itabaiana 0–1–0 Brusque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/25 Brazil Serie C | Brusque | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Itabaiana |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Guarani | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Inter de Limeira | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Paysandu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Caxias RS | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Maringa FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Ituano | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | Ferroviaria SP | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 19 |
| 12 | Ypiranga RS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 13 | Amazonas FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Volta Redonda | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 17 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Barra FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maranhao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 19 | AD Confianca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Itabaiana | Brusque |
|---|---|---|
| Ferroviaria SP | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Anapolis FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Volta Redonda | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Figueirense | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Floresta EC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brusque (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Itabaiana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 04/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Piaui Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Brusque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/07 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 02/06 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 11/05 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Itabaiana vs Brusque?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Itabaiana win (36%). Probabilities: Itabaiana 36%, draw 32%, Brusque 32%.
How many goals are expected in Itabaiana vs Brusque?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Itabaiana 1.06 · Brusque 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Itabaiana vs Brusque?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.