Football · Brazil Serie C · 14/07, 01:30

Prediction: Figueirense vs Volta Redonda

Expected goals: 2.1 (Figueirense 1.17 · Volta Redonda 0.93). The model gives 40% home, 31% draw, 29% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Figueirense with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Volta Redonda has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Figueirense won 0 and Volta Redonda 2, with 1 draw.

40%1
40% 31% 29%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Figueirense 1491 · Volta Redonda 1486
FigueirenseDrawVolta Redonda
Our model40%32%28%
Market41%30%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.1Figueirense 1.17 · Volta Redonda 0.93
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Volta Redonda: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FigueirenseVolta Redonda
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.30.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.31.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.44.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Figueirense 012 Volta Redonda

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/08/24
Brazil Serie C
Volta Redonda1-0
HT 0-0
Figueirense
21/08/23
Brazil Serie C
Volta Redonda2-0
HT 0-0
Figueirense
10/04/22
Brazil Serie C
Volta Redonda1-1
HT 0-1
Figueirense

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 13733 201424
2 Guarani 13652 231123
3 Inter de Limeira 13643 161422
4 Santa Cruz FC 13634 13921
5 Paysandu 13625 191720
6 Caxias RS 13553 131020
7 Botafogo PB 13616 171519
8 Maringa FC 13544 262419
9 Ituano 13544 151319
10 Floresta EC 13544 151419
11 Ferroviaria SP 13544 121119
12 Ypiranga RS 13535 161718
13 Amazonas FC 13526 131817
14 Volta Redonda 13526 101517
15 Figueirense 13445 121816
16 Barra FC 13364 161415
17 Maranhao 13355 91314
18 Itabaiana 13346 111713
19 AD Confianca 13328 81211
20 Anapolis FC 13238 9179

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFigueirenseVolta Redonda
AD Confianca 0-0 D 1-0 W
Itabaiana 0-1 L 1-0 W
Amazonas FC 1-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Volta Redonda (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Figueirense

LLWLDWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-3 106 L
28/06 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 55 D
21/06 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 34 D
15/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 23 W
01/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 611 W
24/05 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 22 D
17/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 91 L
10/05 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 25 W
05/05 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-3 112 L
26/04 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-3 37 L

Volta Redonda

DLDWLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-3 0-4 82 L
01/07 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 3-0 310 W
20/06 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-2 42 L
15/06 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 25 W
30/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 44 W
28/05 Avai
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-1 0-3 45 L
25/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 44 W
21/05 Avai
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
1-1 2-2 35 D
16/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 49 L
10/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 95 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Figueirense vs Volta Redonda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Figueirense win (40%). Probabilities: Figueirense 40%, draw 31%, Volta Redonda 29%.

How many goals are expected in Figueirense vs Volta Redonda?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Figueirense 1.17 · Volta Redonda 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Figueirense vs Volta Redonda?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.