Prediction: Botafogo PB vs AD Confianca
Expected goals: 2.24 (Botafogo PB 1.49 · AD Confianca 0.74). The model gives 55% home, 27% draw, 18% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Botafogo PB with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; AD Confianca has piled up 2-2-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Botafogo PB and 1 for AD Confianca, with 3 draws.
| Botafogo PB | Draw | AD Confianca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botafogo PB (rating 1502 vs 1434).
- H2H favours Botafogo PB: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Botafogo PB | AD Confianca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 2.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo PB 2–3–1 AD Confianca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/25 Brazil Serie C | Botafogo PB | 3-0 HT 1-0 | AD Confianca |
| 13/07/24 Brazil Serie C | Botafogo PB | 3-3 HT 2-1 | AD Confianca |
| 19/08/23 Brazil Serie C | Botafogo PB | 2-3 HT 1-1 | AD Confianca |
| 23/04/22 Brazil Serie C | Botafogo PB | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AD Confianca |
| 06/04/21 Brazil Copa Nordeste | Botafogo PB | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AD Confianca |
| 01/02/20 Brazil Copa Nordeste | Botafogo PB | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AD Confianca |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Guarani | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Inter de Limeira | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Paysandu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Caxias RS | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Maringa FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Ituano | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | Ferroviaria SP | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 19 |
| 12 | Ypiranga RS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 13 | Amazonas FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Volta Redonda | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 17 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Barra FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maranhao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 19 | AD Confianca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Botafogo PB | AD Confianca |
|---|---|---|
| Volta Redonda | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ypiranga RS | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Ituano | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Maranhao | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botafogo PB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 01/07 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 04/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Fluminense PI Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 6 | D |
AD Confianca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 29/06 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 15/06 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Gremio Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botafogo PB vs AD Confianca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Botafogo PB win (55%). Probabilities: Botafogo PB 55%, draw 27%, AD Confianca 18%.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo PB vs AD Confianca?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Botafogo PB 1.49 · AD Confianca 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Botafogo PB vs AD Confianca?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.