Football · Brazil Serie C · 12/07, 21:00

Prediction: Anapolis FC vs Maringa FC

Expected goals: 2.88 (Anapolis FC 1.39 · Maringa FC 1.5). The model gives 34% home, 27% draw, 39% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Anapolis FC is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Maringa FC 3-4-3 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Anapolis FC won 0 and Maringa FC 0, with 3 draws.

39%2
34% 27% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anapolis FC 1482 · Maringa FC 1503
Anapolis FCDrawMaringa FC
Our model34%27%39%
Market34%27%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.88Anapolis FC 1.39 · Maringa FC 1.5
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Anapolis FCMaringa FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.21.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 41.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.4 / 0.45 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anapolis FC 030 Maringa FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/05/25
Brazil Serie C
Anapolis FC1-1
HT 0-0
Maringa FC
15/09/24
Brazil Serie D
Maringa FC0-0
HT 0-0
Anapolis FC
08/09/24
Brazil Serie D
Anapolis FC1-1
HT 0-1
Maringa FC

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 13733 201424
2 Guarani 13652 231123
3 Inter de Limeira 13643 161422
4 Santa Cruz FC 13634 13921
5 Paysandu 13625 191720
6 Caxias RS 13553 131020
7 Botafogo PB 13616 171519
8 Maringa FC 13544 262419
9 Ituano 13544 151319
10 Floresta EC 13544 151419
11 Ferroviaria SP 13544 121119
12 Ypiranga RS 13535 161718
13 Amazonas FC 13526 131817
14 Volta Redonda 13526 101517
15 Figueirense 13445 121816
16 Barra FC 13364 161415
17 Maranhao 13355 91314
18 Itabaiana 13346 111713
19 AD Confianca 13328 81211
20 Anapolis FC 13238 9179

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAnapolis FCMaringa FC
Botafogo PB 0-2 L 1-2 L
Caxias RS 1-1 D 1-1 D
Itabaiana 2-0 W 4-2 W
Maranhao 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Maringa FC (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anapolis FC

WLLDWLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 18 L
01/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 410 D
20/06 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 45 W
13/06 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 37 L
07/06 Paysandu
Brazil Copa Verde
0-1 0-4 010 L
05/06 Paysandu
Brazil Copa Verde
2-0 3-1 66 W
31/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
28/05 Rio Branco ES
Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste
0-2 1-2 46 L
24/05 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 55 L
22/05 Rio Branco ES
Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste
0-0 3-0 57 W

Maringa FC

LWLWDLDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
3-0 4-0 42 W
27/06 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-2 15 D
21/06 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 49 D
16/06 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
30/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-2 45 L
24/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 34 D
16/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
2-1 4-1 25 W
12/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-3 0-5 79 L
04/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
1-1 4-2 35 W
27/04 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-4 97 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anapolis FC vs Maringa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maringa FC win (39%). Probabilities: Anapolis FC 34%, draw 27%, Maringa FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Anapolis FC vs Maringa FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Anapolis FC 1.39 · Maringa FC 1.5), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Anapolis FC vs Maringa FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.