Prediction: Barra FC vs Santa Cruz FC
Expected goals: 1.96 (Barra FC 1.03 · Santa Cruz FC 0.94). The model gives 37% home, 32% draw, 32% away. Under 2.25 goals (57%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Barra FC is 2-4-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Santa Cruz FC 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Barra FC and 0 for Santa Cruz FC, with 1 draw.
| Barra FC | Draw | Santa Cruz FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 34% | 31% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barra FC | Santa Cruz FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.7 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barra FC 1–1–0 Santa Cruz FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Brazil Serie D | Barra FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santa Cruz FC |
| 27/09/25 Brazil Serie D | Santa Cruz FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Barra FC |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Guarani | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Inter de Limeira | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Paysandu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Caxias RS | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Maringa FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Ituano | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | Ferroviaria SP | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 19 |
| 12 | Ypiranga RS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 13 | Amazonas FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Volta Redonda | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 17 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Barra FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maranhao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 19 | AD Confianca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barra FC | Santa Cruz FC |
|---|---|---|
| Amazonas FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Ferroviaria SP | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Brusque | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Guarani | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Cruz FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barra FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Corinthians Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Santa Cruz FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 12/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barra FC vs Santa Cruz FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barra FC win (37%). Probabilities: Barra FC 37%, draw 32%, Santa Cruz FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Barra FC vs Santa Cruz FC?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Barra FC 1.03 · Santa Cruz FC 0.94), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Barra FC vs Santa Cruz FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.