Football · Brazil Serie C · 23/08, 21:00

Prediction: Maringa FC vs Barra FC

Team pages: Maringa FC · Barra FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Maringa FC1.59
Barra FC0.83
1X2
54% 27% 19%
Maringa FC Draw Barra FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maringa FC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DLDDDWWDLD
Barra FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDLDLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maringa FC 1501 · Barra FC 1454
Maringa FCDrawBarra FC
Our model54%27%18%
Market55%26%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maringa FC (rating 1501 vs 1454).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Maringa FCBarra FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.10.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.82.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.13.5 / 0

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 17935 251930
2 Inter de Limeira 17845 222028
3 Botafogo PB 17836 231827
4 Guarani 17764 311927
5 Ferroviaria SP 17764 211427
6 Paysandu 17827 252626
7 Santa Cruz FC 17746 171425
8 Ypiranga RS 17746 242225
9 Amazonas FC 17737 182024
10 Caxias RS 17665 171424
11 Maringa FC 17665 292924
12 Floresta EC 17665 181924
13 Maranhao 17665 141524
14 Figueirense 17665 172124
15 Ituano 17647 181822
16 Volta Redonda 17638 122121
17 Barra FC 17467 181918
18 Itabaiana 17458 132117
19 Anapolis FC 174310 152115
20 AD Confianca 173410 111813

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMaringa FCBarra FC
AD Confianca 1-1 D 2-1 W
Amazonas FC 0-3 L 1-1 D
Floresta EC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Santa Cruz FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maringa FC

DLDDDWWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 76 D
09/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-3 156 L
28/07 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 60 D
12/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 65 W
05/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
3-0 4-0 42 W
27/06 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-2 15 D
21/06 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 49 D
16/06 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
30/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-2 45 L
24/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 34 D

Barra FC

LDLDLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 204 W
09/08 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 53 L
26/07 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 36 L
12/07 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-2 45 L
05/07 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 24 W
27/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 10 L
21/06 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 44 D
16/06 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 03 L
02/06 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 63 D
23/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-2 73 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maringa FC vs Barra FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maringa FC win (54%). Probabilities: Maringa FC 54%, draw 27%, Barra FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in Maringa FC vs Barra FC?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Maringa FC 1.59 · Barra FC 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Maringa FC vs Barra FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.