Football · Brazil Serie C · 29/08, 22:00

Prediction: Amazonas FC vs Ypiranga RS

Team pages: Amazonas FC · Ypiranga RS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Amazonas FC1.25
Ypiranga RS0.94
1X2
43% 30% 27%
Amazonas FC Draw Ypiranga RS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Amazonas FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWDLLLWWDD
Ypiranga RS 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDWDWLWWDW
Head-to-head
Amazonas FC 0–1–0 Ypiranga RS (1 last)
  • Amazonas FC0-0Ypiranga RS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amazonas FC 1495 · Ypiranga RS 1536
Amazonas FCDrawYpiranga RS
Our model42%31%26%
Market43%30%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ypiranga RS (rating 1495 vs 1536).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Amazonas FCYpiranga RS
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.13 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.35.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazonas FC 010 Ypiranga RS

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/07/23
Brazil Serie C
Amazonas FC0-0
HT 0-0
Ypiranga RS

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 18945 262031
2 Botafogo PB 18936 261930
3 Paysandu 18927 262629
4 Inter de Limeira 18855 222029
5 Santa Cruz FC 18846 191428
6 Ypiranga RS 18846 252228
7 Guarani 18765 322227
8 Ferroviaria SP 18765 211527
9 Maranhao 18765 181627
10 Maringa FC 18765 313027
11 Floresta EC 18765 202027
12 Amazonas FC 18747 192125
13 Figueirense 18675 172125
14 Caxias RS 18666 171624
15 Ituano 18648 181922
16 Volta Redonda 18639 132321
17 Anapolis FC 185310 162118
18 Barra FC 18468 192118
19 Itabaiana 18459 142517
20 AD Confianca 183411 111913

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAmazonas FCYpiranga RS
Botafogo PB 0-0 D 1-1 D
Paysandu 2-1 W 1-0 W
Inter de Limeira 0-1 L 1-2 L
Barra FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Guarani 0-5 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ypiranga RS (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amazonas FC

LWDLLLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 55 D
15/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 43 D
09/08 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 3-0 06 W
27/07 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 56 W
12/07 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 411 L
07/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 41 L
01/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-3 1210 L
21/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 14 D
13/06 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 27 W
31/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-3 0-5 43 L

Ypiranga RS

LDWDWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 55 W
18/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 24 D
09/08 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
3-0 4-1 46 W
26/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 36 W
12/07 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 55 L
05/07 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 42 W
29/06 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 94 D
21/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 28 W
16/06 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 127 D
31/05 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-2 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amazonas FC vs Ypiranga RS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Amazonas FC win (43%). Probabilities: Amazonas FC 43%, draw 30%, Ypiranga RS 27%.

How many goals are expected in Amazonas FC vs Ypiranga RS?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Amazonas FC 1.25 · Ypiranga RS 0.94), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Amazonas FC vs Ypiranga RS?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.