Football · Brazil Serie C · 29/08, 22:00
Prediction: Guarani vs Brusque
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Guarani1.94
Brusque0.92
1X2
Guarani
Draw
Brusque
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Guarani
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Brusque
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guarani
2–1–3
Brusque
(6 last)
- Brusque3-2Guarani
- Guarani1-0Brusque
- Brusque1-0Guarani
- Brusque2-1Guarani
- Guarani1-0Brusque
- Guarani1-1Brusque
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guarani 1490 · Brusque 1499
| Guarani | Draw | Brusque | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Brusque: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guarani | Brusque | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7 | 3.3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guarani 2–1–3 Brusque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/25 Brazil Serie C | Brusque | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Guarani |
| 22/09/25 Brazil Serie C | Guarani | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brusque |
| 21/04/25 Brazil Serie C | Brusque | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guarani |
| 17/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Brusque | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Guarani |
| 28/07/24 Brazil Serie B | Guarani | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brusque |
| 24/07/22 Brazil Serie B | Guarani | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brusque |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 31 |
| 2 | Botafogo PB | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Paysandu | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 29 |
| 4 | Inter de Limeira | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 29 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz FC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 28 |
| 6 | Ypiranga RS | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 28 |
| 7 | Guarani | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 27 |
| 8 | Ferroviaria SP | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 27 |
| 9 | Maranhao | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 27 |
| 10 | Maringa FC | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 30 | 27 |
| 11 | Floresta EC | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 27 |
| 12 | Amazonas FC | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 14 | Caxias RS | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
| 15 | Ituano | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 21 |
| 17 | Anapolis FC | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 18 |
| 18 | Barra FC | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 17 |
| 20 | AD Confianca | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guarani | Brusque |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo PB | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Inter de Limeira | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Floresta EC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Figueirense | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Amazonas FC | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guarani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/08 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 4 | D |
| 11/08 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 28/07 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Brusque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/07 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/07 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 02/06 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guarani vs Brusque?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guarani win (60%). Probabilities: Guarani 60%, draw 24%, Brusque 16%.
How many goals are expected in Guarani vs Brusque?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Guarani 1.94 · Brusque 0.92), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guarani vs Brusque?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.