Football · Brazil Serie C · 29/08, 22:00

Prediction: Caxias RS vs Inter de Limeira

Team pages: Caxias RS · Inter de Limeira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Caxias RS1.37

Inter de Limeira0.85

1X2

48% 30% 22%

Caxias RS Draw Inter de Limeira

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Caxias RS 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDLWLL

Inter de Limeira 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWLWLD

Head-to-head

Caxias RS 1–1–0 Inter de Limeira (2 last)

Caxias RS1-1Inter de Limeira
Inter de Limeira0-1Caxias RS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caxias RS 1489 · Inter de Limeira 1517

	Caxias RS	Draw	Inter de Limeira
Our model	48%	30%	22%
Market	48%	30%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Caxias RS	Inter de Limeira
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	5.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 05:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.90▼	Pinn 1.93 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:35 +5’	2.15	3.00	3.20
23:47 +4’	1.90▼	3.10▲	3.90▲
02:31 +8’	1.91▲	2.90▼	4.00▲
05:54 +3’	1.90▼	3.00▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:50 +1’	1.79	3.09	4.21
01:04 +1’	1.87▲	3.01▼	3.96▼
02:38	1.91▲	2.97▼	3.85▼
04:18 +1’	1.93▲	2.96▼	3.82▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Caxias RS 1–1–0 Inter de Limeira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/08/23 Brazil Serie D	Caxias RS	1-1 HT 1-1	Inter de Limeira
29/07/23 Brazil Serie D	Inter de Limeira	0-1 HT 0-0	Caxias RS

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brusque	18	9	4	5	26	20	31
2	Botafogo PB	18	9	3	6	26	19	30
3	Paysandu	18	9	2	7	26	26	29
4	Inter de Limeira	18	8	5	5	22	20	29
5	Santa Cruz FC	18	8	4	6	19	14	28
6	Ypiranga RS	18	8	4	6	25	22	28
7	Guarani	18	7	6	5	32	22	27
8	Ferroviaria SP	18	7	6	5	21	15	27
9	Maranhao	18	7	6	5	18	16	27
10	Maringa FC	18	7	6	5	31	30	27
11	Floresta EC	18	7	6	5	20	20	27
12	Amazonas FC	18	7	4	7	19	21	25
13	Figueirense	18	6	7	5	17	21	25
14	Caxias RS	18	6	6	6	17	16	24
15	Ituano	18	6	4	8	18	19	22
16	Volta Redonda	18	6	3	9	13	23	21
17	Anapolis FC	18	5	3	10	16	21	18
18	Barra FC	18	4	6	8	19	21	18
19	Itabaiana	18	4	5	9	14	25	17
20	AD Confianca	18	3	4	11	11	19	13

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caxias RS	Inter de Limeira
Figueirense	1-2 L	0-0 D
Ferroviaria SP	1-0 W	0-2 L
Maringa FC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Guarani	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Caxias RS (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caxias RS

WLDDWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
16/08	Figueirense Brazil Serie C	1-1	1-2	6	7	L
09/08	Itabaiana Brazil Serie C	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
26/07	Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C	1-0	1-2	12	5	L
11/07	Floresta EC Brazil Serie C	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
05/07	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
01/07	Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C	0-0	1-1	8	9	D
21/06	Maringa FC Brazil Serie C	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
13/06	Guarani Brazil Serie C	0-1	1-2	0	6	L
31/05	Ituano Brazil Serie C	0-0	2-1	3	6	W

Inter de Limeira

WWLDWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Figueirense Brazil Serie C	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
16/08	Brusque Brazil Serie C	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
09/08	Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
28/07	Guarani Brazil Serie C	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
12/07	Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C	0-0	1-0	6	11	W
04/07	Maranhao Brazil Serie C	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
27/06	Maringa FC Brazil Serie C	0-0	2-2	12	6	D
21/06	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
14/06	Paysandu Brazil Serie C	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
31/05	Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C	0-1	2-1	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caxias RS vs Inter de Limeira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Caxias RS win (48%). Probabilities: Caxias RS 48%, draw 30%, Inter de Limeira 22%.

How many goals are expected in Caxias RS vs Inter de Limeira?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Caxias RS 1.37 · Inter de Limeira 0.85), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Caxias RS vs Inter de Limeira?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.