Football · Brazil Serie C · 29/08, 22:00

Prediction: Figueirense vs Maranhao

Team pages: Figueirense · Maranhao

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Figueirense1.28
Maranhao0.62
1X2
53% 30% 18%
Figueirense Draw Maranhao
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Figueirense 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDLDWDWD
Maranhao 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDLDLWDWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Figueirense 1541 · Maranhao 1529
FigueirenseDrawMaranhao
Our model51%32%17%
Market53%28%19%
Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FigueirenseMaranhao
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.90.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.61.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.45.1 / 0

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 18945 262031
2 Botafogo PB 18936 261930
3 Paysandu 18927 262629
4 Inter de Limeira 18855 222029
5 Santa Cruz FC 18846 191428
6 Ypiranga RS 18846 252228
7 Guarani 18765 322227
8 Ferroviaria SP 18765 211527
9 Maranhao 18765 181627
10 Maringa FC 18765 313027
11 Floresta EC 18765 202027
12 Amazonas FC 18747 192125
13 Figueirense 18675 172125
14 Caxias RS 18666 171624
15 Ituano 18648 181922
16 Volta Redonda 18639 132321
17 Anapolis FC 185310 162118
18 Barra FC 18468 192118
19 Itabaiana 18459 142517
20 AD Confianca 183411 111913

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFigueirenseMaranhao
Inter de Limeira 0-0 D 0-1 L
Ferroviaria SP 2-2 D 0-0 D
Santa Cruz FC 1-0 W 1-0 W
Brusque 1-3 L 2-1 W
Ituano 0-0 D 0-0 D
Paysandu 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Figueirense (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Figueirense

WWDDLDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 35 D
16/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 27 W
08/08 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 157 D
25/07 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 59 W
14/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 156 D
07/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-3 106 L
28/06 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 55 D
21/06 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 34 D
15/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 23 W
01/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 611 W

Maranhao

DDLDLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
3-1 4-1 14 W
16/08 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 37 W
09/08 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 43 W
25/07 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 48 D
12/07 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 65 W
04/07 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 106 L
29/06 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 37 D
21/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 53 L
16/06 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 14 D
31/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Figueirense vs Maranhao?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Figueirense win (53%). Probabilities: Figueirense 53%, draw 30%, Maranhao 18%.

How many goals are expected in Figueirense vs Maranhao?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Figueirense 1.28 · Maranhao 0.62), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Figueirense vs Maranhao?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.