Prediction: Maranhao vs Ypiranga RS
Expected goals: 2.03 (Maranhao 1.11 · Ypiranga RS 0.92). The model gives 39% home, 31% draw, 29% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Maranhao is 2-4-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Ypiranga RS 3-2-5 over its own.
| Maranhao | Draw | Ypiranga RS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maranhao | Ypiranga RS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 3.2 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Guarani | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Inter de Limeira | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Paysandu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Caxias RS | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Maringa FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Ituano | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | Ferroviaria SP | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 19 |
| 12 | Ypiranga RS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 13 | Amazonas FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Volta Redonda | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 17 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Barra FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maranhao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 19 | AD Confianca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maranhao | Ypiranga RS |
|---|---|---|
| Inter de Limeira | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Ituano | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Paysandu | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Maringa FC | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Caxias RS | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| AD Confianca | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Botafogo PB | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maranhao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 29/06 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/05 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 30/04 | Ceara Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Ypiranga RS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/06 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/06 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maranhao vs Ypiranga RS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maranhao win (39%). Probabilities: Maranhao 39%, draw 31%, Ypiranga RS 29%.
How many goals are expected in Maranhao vs Ypiranga RS?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Maranhao 1.11 · Ypiranga RS 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Maranhao vs Ypiranga RS?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.