Football · Brazil Serie C · 23/08, 21:00

Prediction: Brusque vs Amazonas FC

Team pages: Brusque · Amazonas FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Brusque1.6
Amazonas FC0.9
1X2
53% 27% 20%
Brusque Draw Amazonas FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brusque 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WDLWLWLWLW
Amazonas FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLLWWD
Head-to-head
Brusque 2–1–2 Amazonas FC (5 last)
  • Brusque1-0Amazonas FC
  • Amazonas FC2-1Brusque
  • Brusque1-2Amazonas FC
  • Amazonas FC0-0Brusque
  • Brusque1-0Amazonas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brusque 1509 · Amazonas FC 1482
BrusqueDrawAmazonas FC
Our model53%27%20%
Market53%27%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrusqueAmazonas FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.20.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.61.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 05.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brusque 212 Amazonas FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/09/24
Brazil Serie B
Brusque1-0
HT 0-0
Amazonas FC
08/06/24
Brazil Serie B
Amazonas FC2-1
HT 0-0
Brusque
22/10/23
Brazil Serie C
Brusque1-2
HT 1-1
Amazonas FC
15/10/23
Brazil Serie C
Amazonas FC0-0
HT 0-0
Brusque
04/05/23
Brazil Serie C
Brusque1-0
HT 1-0
Amazonas FC

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 17935 251930
2 Inter de Limeira 17845 222028
3 Botafogo PB 17836 231827
4 Guarani 17764 311927
5 Ferroviaria SP 17764 211427
6 Paysandu 17827 252626
7 Santa Cruz FC 17746 171425
8 Ypiranga RS 17746 242225
9 Amazonas FC 17737 182024
10 Caxias RS 17665 171424
11 Maringa FC 17665 292924
12 Floresta EC 17665 181924
13 Maranhao 17665 141524
14 Figueirense 17665 172124
15 Ituano 17647 181822
16 Volta Redonda 17638 122121
17 Barra FC 17467 181918
18 Itabaiana 17458 132117
19 Anapolis FC 174310 152115
20 AD Confianca 173410 111813

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrusqueAmazonas FC
Inter de Limeira 3-2 W 0-1 L
Itabaiana 0-1 L 0-2 L
Botafogo PB 0-2 L 0-0 D
Barra FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Anapolis FC 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brusque (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brusque

WDLWLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-2 34 W
09/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 83 L
26/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 46 W
14/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-1 56 W
01/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 94 L
21/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 82 W
14/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 57 L
02/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 133 D
24/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 65 W

Amazonas FC

LLWDLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 43 D
09/08 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 3-0 06 W
27/07 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 56 W
12/07 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 411 L
07/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 41 L
01/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-3 1210 L
21/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 14 D
13/06 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 27 W
31/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-3 0-5 43 L
24/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-2 17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brusque vs Amazonas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brusque win (53%). Probabilities: Brusque 53%, draw 27%, Amazonas FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Brusque vs Amazonas FC?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Brusque 1.6 · Amazonas FC 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brusque vs Amazonas FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.