Football · Brazil Serie C · 06/07, 02:00

Prediction: Anapolis FC vs Botafogo PB

Expected goals: 2.28 (Anapolis FC 1.16 · Botafogo PB 1.13). The model gives 35% home, 30% draw, 34% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Anapolis FC with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Botafogo PB has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Anapolis FC and 0 for Botafogo PB.

35%1
35% 30% 34%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anapolis FC 1503 · Botafogo PB 1468
Anapolis FCDrawBotafogo PB
Our model35%31%34%
Market36%30%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.28Anapolis FC 1.16 · Botafogo PB 1.13
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Anapolis FCBotafogo PB
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.82.9 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.54.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anapolis FC 100 Botafogo PB

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/25
Brazil Serie C
Anapolis FC2-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo PB

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guarani 12642 231122
2 Brusque 12633 171321
3 Paysandu 12624 191620
4 Ituano 12543 151219
5 Ferroviaria SP 12543 121019
6 Inter de Limeira 12543 151419
7 Santa Cruz FC 12534 12918
8 Floresta EC 12534 151418
9 Volta Redonda 12525 101117
10 Amazonas FC 12525 131617
11 Caxias RS 12453 121017
12 Botafogo PB 12516 151516
13 Maringa FC 12444 222416
14 Figueirense 12444 111516
15 Ypiranga RS 12435 151715
16 Maranhao 12354 91214
17 Barra FC 12264 141312
18 AD Confianca 12327 71011
19 Itabaiana 12246 91710
20 Anapolis FC 12237 9159

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAnapolis FCBotafogo PB
Paysandu 0-4 L 2-4 L
Maranhao 0-0 D 1-3 L
Brusque 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Botafogo PB (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anapolis FC

DWLLDWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 410 D
20/06 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 45 W
13/06 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 37 L
07/06 Paysandu
Brazil Copa Verde
0-1 0-4 010 L
05/06 Paysandu
Brazil Copa Verde
2-0 3-1 66 W
31/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
28/05 Rio Branco ES
Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste
0-2 1-2 46 L
24/05 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 55 L
22/05 Rio Branco ES
Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste
0-0 3-0 57 W
17/05 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 96 D

Botafogo PB

LDLLLLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 94 W
20/06 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-0 12 W
16/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 07 D
30/05 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 35 W
26/05 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 75 L
19/05 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 84 L
09/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-2 1-3 89 L
04/05 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-3 2-4 44 L
30/04 Fluminense PI
Brazil Copa Nordeste
0-0 1-1 146 D
26/04 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 82 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anapolis FC vs Botafogo PB?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anapolis FC win (35%). Probabilities: Anapolis FC 35%, draw 30%, Botafogo PB 34%.

How many goals are expected in Anapolis FC vs Botafogo PB?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Anapolis FC 1.16 · Botafogo PB 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Anapolis FC vs Botafogo PB?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.