Prediction: Amazonas FC vs Itabaiana
Expected goals: 2.26 (Amazonas FC 1.49 · Itabaiana 0.77). The model gives 54% home, 28% draw, 18% away. Over 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Amazonas FC with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Itabaiana has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span.
| Amazonas FC | Draw | Itabaiana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Amazonas FC | Itabaiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Brusque | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Paysandu | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Ituano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | Volta Redonda | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Amazonas FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Caxias RS | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 12 | Botafogo PB | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 16 |
| 15 | Ypiranga RS | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | AD Confianca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Amazonas FC | Itabaiana |
|---|---|---|
| Volta Redonda | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Anapolis FC | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Ferroviaria SP | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Floresta EC | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Figueirense | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Itabaiana (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amazonas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 10 | L |
| 21/06 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 30/04 | Monte Roraima Brazil Copa Norte |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Itabaiana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 04/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Piaui Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amazonas FC vs Itabaiana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Amazonas FC win (54%). Probabilities: Amazonas FC 54%, draw 28%, Itabaiana 18%.
How many goals are expected in Amazonas FC vs Itabaiana?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Amazonas FC 1.49 · Itabaiana 0.77), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Amazonas FC vs Itabaiana?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.