Prediction: Santa Cruz FC vs Caxias RS
Team pages: Santa Cruz FC · Caxias RS
| Santa Cruz FC | Draw | Caxias RS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 31% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santa Cruz FC | Caxias RS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 27 |
| 4 | Guarani | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 6 | Paysandu | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 25 |
| 8 | Ypiranga RS | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 25 |
| 9 | Amazonas FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 10 | Caxias RS | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 24 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 29 | 24 |
| 12 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 13 | Maranhao | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 24 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 24 |
| 15 | Ituano | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 17 |
| 19 | Anapolis FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 15 |
| 20 | AD Confianca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Cruz FC | Caxias RS |
|---|---|---|
| Maranhao | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Botafogo PB | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Figueirense | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Ituano | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ferroviaria SP | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Maringa FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Caxias RS (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Cruz FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 12/07 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Caxias RS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Cruz FC vs Caxias RS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Cruz FC win (43%). Probabilities: Santa Cruz FC 43%, draw 31%, Caxias RS 25%.
How many goals are expected in Santa Cruz FC vs Caxias RS?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Santa Cruz FC 1.22 · Caxias RS 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Santa Cruz FC vs Caxias RS?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.