Prediction: Ferroviaria SP vs Caxias RS
Expected goals: 1.71 (Ferroviaria SP 1.03 · Caxias RS 0.68). The model gives 43% home, 33% draw, 24% away. Under 2 goals (58%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Ferroviaria SP sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Caxias RS arrives on a 3-6-1 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Ferroviaria SP and 0 for Caxias RS, with 1 draw.
| Ferroviaria SP | Draw | Caxias RS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferroviaria SP | Caxias RS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.7 | 5.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviaria SP 0–1–0 Caxias RS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/24 Brazil Serie C | Caxias RS | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ferroviaria SP |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Brusque | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Paysandu | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Ituano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | Volta Redonda | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Amazonas FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Caxias RS | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 12 | Botafogo PB | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 16 |
| 15 | Ypiranga RS | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | AD Confianca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferroviaria SP | Caxias RS |
|---|---|---|
| Barra FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Amazonas FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Volta Redonda | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Anapolis FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria SP (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferroviaria SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | CA Juventus Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 12 | L |
| 10/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | CA Juventus Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Caxias RS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 01/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferroviaria SP vs Caxias RS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferroviaria SP win (43%). Probabilities: Ferroviaria SP 43%, draw 33%, Caxias RS 24%.
How many goals are expected in Ferroviaria SP vs Caxias RS?
The model expects 1.71 goals (Ferroviaria SP 1.03 · Caxias RS 0.68), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferroviaria SP vs Caxias RS?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.