Football · Brazil Serie C · 04/07, 22:00

Prediction: Maranhao vs Inter de Limeira

Expected goals: 2.06 (Maranhao 1.06 · Inter de Limeira 1). The model gives 36% home, 31% draw, 33% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Maranhao is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Inter de Limeira 4-4-2 over its own.

36%1
36% 31% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maranhao 1494 · Inter de Limeira 1519
MaranhaoDrawInter de Limeira
Our model35%33%32%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.06Maranhao 1.06 · Inter de Limeira 1
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MaranhaoInter de Limeira
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.91.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.33.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.15.3 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guarani 12642 231122
2 Brusque 12633 171321
3 Paysandu 12624 191620
4 Ituano 12543 151219
5 Ferroviaria SP 12543 121019
6 Inter de Limeira 12543 151419
7 Santa Cruz FC 12534 12918
8 Floresta EC 12534 151418
9 Volta Redonda 12525 101117
10 Amazonas FC 12525 131617
11 Caxias RS 12453 121017
12 Botafogo PB 12516 151516
13 Maringa FC 12444 222416
14 Figueirense 12444 111516
15 Ypiranga RS 12435 151715
16 Maranhao 12354 91214
17 Barra FC 12264 141312
18 AD Confianca 12327 71011
19 Itabaiana 12246 91710
20 Anapolis FC 12237 9159

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMaranhaoInter de Limeira
Ituano 0-0 D 1-1 D
Paysandu 0-1 L 2-1 W
Maringa FC 0-0 D 2-2 D
AD Confianca 1-2 L 1-0 W
Botafogo PB 3-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Inter de Limeira (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maranhao

WLWWLDDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 37 D
21/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 53 L
16/06 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 14 D
31/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 34 D
24/05 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 46 D
19/05 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 74 L
09/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
2-1 3-1 69 W
05/05 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 49 W
30/04 Ceara
Brazil Copa Nordeste
0-3 1-3 55 L
26/04 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 55 W

Inter de Limeira

DDWLWDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-2 125 D
21/06 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 74 L
14/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 38 W
31/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 47 W
24/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
19/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 14 W
12/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-2 119 L
03/05 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 26 W
26/04 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-2 73 D
18/04 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 75 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maranhao vs Inter de Limeira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maranhao win (36%). Probabilities: Maranhao 36%, draw 31%, Inter de Limeira 33%.

How many goals are expected in Maranhao vs Inter de Limeira?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Maranhao 1.06 · Inter de Limeira 1), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Maranhao vs Inter de Limeira?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.