Prediction: Santa Cruz FC vs Ituano
Expected goals: 2.04 (Santa Cruz FC 1.18 · Ituano 0.86). The model gives 43% home, 31% draw, 26% away. Under 2.25 goals (56%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Santa Cruz FC with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Ituano has piled up 4-4-2 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Santa Cruz FC and 0 for Ituano, with 1 draw.
| Santa Cruz FC | Draw | Ituano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santa Cruz FC | Ituano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Cruz FC 1–1–0 Ituano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/21 Brazil Serie C | Santa Cruz FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ituano |
| 26/12/20 Brazil Serie C | Ituano | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Santa Cruz FC |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Brusque | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Paysandu | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Ituano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | Volta Redonda | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Amazonas FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Caxias RS | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 12 | Botafogo PB | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 16 |
| 15 | Ypiranga RS | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | AD Confianca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Cruz FC | Ituano |
|---|---|---|
| Ypiranga RS | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Ferroviaria SP | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Maringa FC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Guarani | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| AD Confianca | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ituano (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Cruz FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 12/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Ituano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 11/05 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/04 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Cruz FC vs Ituano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Cruz FC win (43%). Probabilities: Santa Cruz FC 43%, draw 31%, Ituano 26%.
How many goals are expected in Santa Cruz FC vs Ituano?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Santa Cruz FC 1.18 · Ituano 0.86), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Santa Cruz FC vs Ituano?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.