Football · Brazil Serie C · 12/07, 16:00

Prediction: Inter de Limeira vs Amazonas FC

Expected goals: 2.49 (Inter de Limeira 1.62 · Amazonas FC 0.87). The model gives 54% home, 27% draw, 19% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Inter de Limeira sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Amazonas FC arrives on a 1-3-6 run.

54%1
54% 27% 19%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter de Limeira 1535 · Amazonas FC 1444
Inter de LimeiraDrawAmazonas FC
Our model54%27%19%
Market54%27%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.49Inter de Limeira 1.62 · Amazonas FC 0.87
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter de Limeira (rating 1535 vs 1444).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter de LimeiraAmazonas FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 10.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.72 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.26 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 13733 201424
2 Guarani 13652 231123
3 Inter de Limeira 13643 161422
4 Santa Cruz FC 13634 13921
5 Paysandu 13625 191720
6 Caxias RS 13553 131020
7 Botafogo PB 13616 171519
8 Maringa FC 13544 262419
9 Ituano 13544 151319
10 Floresta EC 13544 151419
11 Ferroviaria SP 13544 121119
12 Ypiranga RS 13535 161718
13 Amazonas FC 13526 131817
14 Volta Redonda 13526 101517
15 Figueirense 13445 121816
16 Barra FC 13364 161415
17 Maranhao 13355 91314
18 Itabaiana 13346 111713
19 AD Confianca 13328 81211
20 Anapolis FC 13238 9179

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter de LimeiraAmazonas FC
Ferroviaria SP 0-2 L 1-2 L
Itabaiana 0-0 D 0-2 L
Barra FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter de Limeira

DWLWDWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 27 W
27/06 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-2 125 D
21/06 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 74 L
14/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 38 W
31/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 47 W
24/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
19/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 14 W
12/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-2 119 L
03/05 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 26 W
26/04 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-2 73 D

Amazonas FC

DDLLLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 41 L
01/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-3 1210 L
21/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 14 D
13/06 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 27 W
31/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-3 0-5 43 L
24/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-2 17 L
17/05 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-2 2-3 68 L
10/05 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 65 L
03/05 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 110 D
30/04 Monte Roraima
Brazil Copa Norte
1-0 2-2 87 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter de Limeira vs Amazonas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter de Limeira win (54%). Probabilities: Inter de Limeira 54%, draw 27%, Amazonas FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in Inter de Limeira vs Amazonas FC?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Inter de Limeira 1.62 · Amazonas FC 0.87), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter de Limeira vs Amazonas FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.