Prediction: Ituano vs Paysandu
- Paysandu1-0Ituano
- Ituano3-5Paysandu
- Paysandu1-4Ituano
- Ituano3-1Paysandu
| Ituano | Draw | Paysandu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ituano | Paysandu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 7.3 | 3.4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 6.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ituano 2–0–2 Paysandu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/24 Brazil Serie B | Paysandu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ituano |
| 15/06/24 Brazil Serie B | Ituano | 3-5 HT 2-3 | Paysandu |
| 23/10/21 Brazil Serie C | Paysandu | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Ituano |
| 16/10/21 Brazil Serie C | Ituano | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Paysandu |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 27 |
| 4 | Guarani | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 6 | Paysandu | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 25 |
| 8 | Ypiranga RS | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 25 |
| 9 | Amazonas FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 10 | Caxias RS | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 24 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 29 | 24 |
| 12 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 13 | Maranhao | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 24 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 24 |
| 15 | Ituano | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 17 |
| 19 | Anapolis FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 15 |
| 20 | AD Confianca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ituano | Paysandu |
|---|---|---|
| Ferroviaria SP | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Santa Cruz FC | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Maranhao | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Figueirense | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ituano (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ituano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 29/06 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Paysandu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 11/08 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 01/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 26/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ituano vs Paysandu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ituano win (43%). Probabilities: Ituano 43%, draw 29%, Paysandu 28%.
How many goals are expected in Ituano vs Paysandu?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Ituano 1.42 · Paysandu 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ituano vs Paysandu?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

