Prediction: Guarani vs Floresta EC
Expected goals: 2.76 (Guarani 1.9 · Floresta EC 0.87). The model gives 60% home, 25% draw, 15% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Guarani sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Floresta EC arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Guarani and 0 for Floresta EC, with 1 draw.
| Guarani | Draw | Floresta EC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guarani (rating 1536 vs 1492).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guarani | Floresta EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.4 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guarani 0–1–0 Floresta EC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/25 Brazil Serie C | Floresta EC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Brusque | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Paysandu | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Ituano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | Volta Redonda | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Amazonas FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Caxias RS | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 12 | Botafogo PB | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 16 |
| 15 | Ypiranga RS | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | AD Confianca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guarani | Floresta EC |
|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| AD Confianca | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Amazonas FC | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Barra FC | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ferroviaria SP | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Itabaiana | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Guarani (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guarani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 13 | 10 | L |
| 12/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Floresta EC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guarani vs Floresta EC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guarani win (60%). Probabilities: Guarani 60%, draw 25%, Floresta EC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Guarani vs Floresta EC?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Guarani 1.9 · Floresta EC 0.87), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guarani vs Floresta EC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.