Prediction: Caxias RS vs Floresta EC
Expected goals: 1.93 (Caxias RS 0.93 · Floresta EC 1). The model gives 32% home, 33% draw, 36% away. Under 2 goals (54%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Caxias RS is 3-6-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Floresta EC 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Caxias RS and 1 for Floresta EC, with 2 draws.
| Caxias RS | Draw | Floresta EC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 34% | 35% |
| Market | 32% | 31% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caxias RS (rating 1541 vs 1495).
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caxias RS | Floresta EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caxias RS 1–2–1 Floresta EC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 Brazil Serie C | Caxias RS | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Floresta EC |
| 07/09/25 Brazil Serie C | Floresta EC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Caxias RS |
| 13/04/25 Brazil Serie C | Caxias RS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Floresta EC |
| 30/06/24 Brazil Serie C | Floresta EC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Caxias RS |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Guarani | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Inter de Limeira | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Paysandu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Caxias RS | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Maringa FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Ituano | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | Ferroviaria SP | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 19 |
| 12 | Ypiranga RS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 13 | Amazonas FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Volta Redonda | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 17 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Barra FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maranhao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 19 | AD Confianca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 20 | Anapolis FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caxias RS | Floresta EC |
|---|---|---|
| Guarani | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Maranhao | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Paysandu | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Barra FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Amazonas FC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Floresta EC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caxias RS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
Floresta EC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caxias RS vs Floresta EC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Floresta EC win (36%). Probabilities: Caxias RS 32%, draw 33%, Floresta EC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Caxias RS vs Floresta EC?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Caxias RS 0.93 · Floresta EC 1), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Caxias RS vs Floresta EC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.