Football · Brazil Serie C · 05/07, 00:00

Prediction: Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda

Expected goals: 2.84 (Maringa FC 1.69 · Volta Redonda 1.14). The model gives 49% home, 27% draw, 24% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Maringa FC is 2-4-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Volta Redonda 4-2-4 over its own.

49%1
49% 27% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maringa FC 1476 · Volta Redonda 1477
Maringa FCDrawVolta Redonda
Our model49%26%25%
Market49%27%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.84Maringa FC 1.69 · Volta Redonda 1.14
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Maringa FCVolta Redonda
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.11 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.30.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.51.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.55.2 / 0.4

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guarani 12642 231122
2 Brusque 12633 171321
3 Paysandu 12624 191620
4 Ituano 12543 151219
5 Ferroviaria SP 12543 121019
6 Inter de Limeira 12543 151419
7 Santa Cruz FC 12534 12918
8 Floresta EC 12534 151418
9 Volta Redonda 12525 101117
10 Amazonas FC 12525 131617
11 Caxias RS 12453 121017
12 Botafogo PB 12516 151516
13 Maringa FC 12444 222416
14 Figueirense 12444 111516
15 Ypiranga RS 12435 151715
16 Maranhao 12354 91214
17 Barra FC 12264 141312
18 AD Confianca 12327 71011
19 Itabaiana 12246 91710
20 Anapolis FC 12237 9159

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMaringa FCVolta Redonda
Botafogo PB 1-2 L 0-2 L
Santa Cruz FC 1-1 D 0-2 L
Ypiranga RS 4-1 W 2-1 W
Itabaiana 4-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Maringa FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maringa FC

LLWLWDLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-2 15 D
21/06 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 49 D
16/06 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
30/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-2 45 L
24/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 34 D
16/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
2-1 4-1 25 W
12/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-3 0-5 79 L
04/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
1-1 4-2 35 W
27/04 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-4 97 L
21/04 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-2 2-3 146 L

Volta Redonda

LDLDWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 3-0 310 W
20/06 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-2 42 L
15/06 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 25 W
30/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 44 W
28/05 Avai
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-1 0-3 45 L
25/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 44 W
21/05 Avai
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
1-1 2-2 35 D
16/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 49 L
10/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 95 D
07/05 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-1 1-2 87 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maringa FC win (49%). Probabilities: Maringa FC 49%, draw 27%, Volta Redonda 24%.

How many goals are expected in Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Maringa FC 1.69 · Volta Redonda 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.