Football · Brazil Serie C · 22/08, 22:00
Prediction: Volta Redonda vs Floresta EC
Team pages: Volta Redonda · Floresta EC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Volta Redonda1.25
Floresta EC0.7
1X2
Volta Redonda
Draw
Floresta EC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Volta Redonda
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Floresta EC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Volta Redonda
2–2–1
Floresta EC
(5 last)
- Volta Redonda2-1Floresta EC
- Floresta EC2-1Volta Redonda
- Floresta EC1-1Volta Redonda
- Floresta EC1-1Volta Redonda
- Volta Redonda1-0Floresta EC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Volta Redonda 1481 · Floresta EC 1489
| Volta Redonda | Draw | Floresta EC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 32% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Volta Redonda: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Volta Redonda | Floresta EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Volta Redonda 2–2–1 Floresta EC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/24 Brazil Serie C | Volta Redonda | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Floresta EC |
| 06/05/23 Brazil Serie C | Floresta EC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Volta Redonda |
| 20/06/22 Brazil Serie C | Floresta EC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Volta Redonda |
| 18/09/21 Brazil Serie C | Floresta EC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Volta Redonda |
| 18/07/21 Brazil Serie C | Volta Redonda | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Floresta EC |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 27 |
| 4 | Guarani | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria SP | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 6 | Paysandu | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 25 |
| 8 | Ypiranga RS | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 25 |
| 9 | Amazonas FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 10 | Caxias RS | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 24 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 29 | 24 |
| 12 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 13 | Maranhao | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 24 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 24 |
| 15 | Ituano | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 17 |
| 19 | Anapolis FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 15 |
| 20 | AD Confianca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Volta Redonda | Floresta EC |
|---|---|---|
| Anapolis FC | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Figueirense | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Maringa FC | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| AD Confianca | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ypiranga RS | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Volta Redonda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/07 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Floresta EC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/07 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Volta Redonda vs Floresta EC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Volta Redonda win (48%). Probabilities: Volta Redonda 48%, draw 32%, Floresta EC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Volta Redonda vs Floresta EC?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Volta Redonda 1.25 · Floresta EC 0.7), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Volta Redonda vs Floresta EC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.