Football · USA MLS · 25/10, 02:30

Prediction: Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Team pages: Colorado Rapids · Vancouver Whitecaps

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Colorado Rapids1.31

Vancouver Whitecaps1.69

1X2

29% 26% 45%

Colorado Rapids Draw Vancouver Whitecaps

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Rapids 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDLDDD

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLDDW

Head-to-head

Colorado Rapids 2–1–3 Vancouver Whitecaps (6 last)

Vancouver Whitecaps3-1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids3-0Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps2-0Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps2-1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1-0Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids2-2Vancouver Whitecaps

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids 1456 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1523

	Colorado Rapids	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
Our model	29%	26%	45%
Market	29%	25%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver Whitecaps (rating 1456 vs 1523).
H2H favours Vancouver Whitecaps: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Rapids	Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.70

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +9’	3.20	3.70	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids 2–1–3 Vancouver Whitecaps

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	3-1 HT 2-1	Colorado Rapids
13/07/25 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	3-0 HT 2-0	Vancouver Whitecaps
06/04/25 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	2-0 HT 2-0	Colorado Rapids
02/06/24 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	2-1 HT 0-0	Colorado Rapids
16/05/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-0 HT 1-0	Vancouver Whitecaps
28/09/23 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	2-2 HT 0-1	Vancouver Whitecaps

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	30	16	7	7	63	31	55
2	St. Louis City SC	30	14	9	7	56	41	51
3	FC Dallas	30	14	9	7	55	47	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	30	13	9	8	52	42	48
5	Houston Dynamo	30	13	8	9	41	39	47
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	48	33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	30	11	9	10	39	37	42
8	LA Galaxy	31	10	10	11	43	52	40
9	Colorado Rapids	30	11	6	13	41	41	39
10	Real Salt Lake	30	10	6	14	45	48	36
11	Portland Timbers	30	9	7	14	51	56	34
12	San Diego FC	30	8	10	12	53	56	34
13	Minnesota United	30	8	10	12	47	55	34
14	Austin FC	30	7	10	13	38	56	31
15	Sporting Kansas City	30	6	4	20	36	75	22

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colorado Rapids	Vancouver Whitecaps
LA Galaxy	2-3 L	3-0 W
Austin FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Real Salt Lake	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver Whitecaps (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colorado Rapids

LWLDWDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Portland Timbers USA MLS	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
15/10	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
11/10	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
27/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
20/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	3-3	4	1	D
13/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/09	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
30/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L

Vancouver Whitecaps

WLWLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
15/10	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
11/10	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
07/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
27/09	DC United USA MLS	2-1	3-3	7	1	D
20/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	2-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
06/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-3	1-3	6	7	L
30/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	1-0	3-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver Whitecaps win (45%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids 29%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 45%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model expects 3 goals (Colorado Rapids 1.31 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1.69), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.