Football · Brazil Serie B · 26/09, 21:30

Prediction: Nautico vs Sport Recife

Team pages: Nautico · Sport Recife

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Nautico1.48

Sport Recife1.2

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Nautico Draw Sport Recife

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nautico 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDWWLD

Sport Recife 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Nautico 2–2–2 Sport Recife (6 last)

Sport Recife2-0Nautico
Nautico0-3Sport Recife
Sport Recife3-3Nautico
Nautico4-0Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-2Nautico
Sport Recife0-0Nautico

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nautico	Sport Recife
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.2	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.99

Under 2.751.84

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.16▲	Pinn 2.16
X	3.53 → 3.52▼	Pinn 3.52
2	3.24 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.25

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:44 +26’	2.10	3.53	3.24
03:44 +28’	2.16▲	3.52▼	3.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nautico 2–2–2 Sport Recife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	2-0 HT 1-0	Nautico
08/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano	Nautico	0-3 HT 0-2	Sport Recife
01/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano	Sport Recife	3-3 HT 1-1	Nautico
18/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano	Nautico	4-0 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
15/02/25 Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano	Sport Recife	1-2 HT 0-1	Nautico
06/04/24 Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano	Sport Recife	0-0 HT 0-0	Nautico

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	29	15	6	8	41	31	51
2	Fortaleza	29	14	9	6	33	24	51
3	Gremio Novorizontino	29	14	8	7	49	27	50
4	EC Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	50
5	Criciuma	28	13	8	7	28	25	47
6	Atletico GO	29	12	10	7	36	27	46
7	CRB	29	13	6	10	42	41	45
8	Operario PR	28	12	8	8	39	36	44
9	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	44
10	Goias	29	12	6	11	30	35	42
11	Sao Bernardo SP	29	11	8	10	40	31	41
12	Athletic Club MG	29	10	11	8	34	31	41
13	Cuiaba	28	9	13	6	27	22	40
14	Nautico	28	10	8	10	35	33	38
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	35
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	32
17	Avai	29	8	6	15	30	38	30
18	Londrina	29	7	7	15	39	41	28
19	America MG	29	4	5	20	21	49	17
20	Ponte Preta	29	3	4	22	17	62	13

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nautico	Sport Recife
America MG	1-2 L	3-0 W
Ceara	1-0 W	1-2 L
Ponte Preta	1-1 D	2-0 W
Londrina	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nautico

WDDDWDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
10/09	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
04/09	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
23/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
19/08	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
15/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
09/08	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
26/07	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	8	5	W

Sport Recife

DWWLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
16/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
11/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
05/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
29/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
25/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
20/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
15/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
28/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nautico vs Sport Recife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nautico win (42%). Probabilities: Nautico 42%, draw 28%, Sport Recife 30%.

How many goals are expected in Nautico vs Sport Recife?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Nautico 1.48 · Sport Recife 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nautico vs Sport Recife?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.