Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 08/11, 16:30

Prediction: AIK vs BK Hacken

Team pages: AIK · BK Hacken

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

AIK1.1

BK Hacken1.86

1X2

22% 24% 54%

AIK Draw BK Hacken

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AIK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLDWDL

BK Hacken 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWWWDW

Head-to-head

AIK 1–3–2 BK Hacken (6 last)

BK Hacken0-0AIK
AIK4-0BK Hacken
AIK2-2BK Hacken
BK Hacken3-3AIK
AIK0-2BK Hacken
BK Hacken4-1AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AIK 1484 · BK Hacken 1571

	AIK	Draw	BK Hacken
Our model	21%	25%	54%
Market	22%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (rating 1484 vs 1571).
H2H favours BK Hacken: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIK	BK Hacken
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.2	1.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	3.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
X	3.75 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.17 ★
2	1.90 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 6% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +7’	3.30	3.75	1.90
07:12 +8’	3.75▲	3.90▲	1.75▼
16:23 +10’	3.90▲	3.90	1.73▼
05:22 +2’	4.20▲	4.00▲	1.73
12:21 +31’	4.33▲	4.00	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:41 +6’	3.77	3.94	1.82
20:35 +10’	4.02▲	4.07▲	1.77▼
16:09 +24’	4.14▲	4.11▲	1.74▼
01:29	4.14	4.14▲	1.74▼
11:34 +6’	4.20▲	4.14	1.72▼
12:41 +12’	4.30▲	4.17▲	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK 1–3–2 BK Hacken

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	0-0 HT 0-0	AIK
09/03/26 Sweden Cup	AIK	4-0 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
26/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-2 HT 2-1	BK Hacken
14/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	3-3 HT 0-1	AIK
06/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	0-2 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
02/06/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	4-1 HT 2-0	AIK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	27	18	4	5	58	34	58
2	Hammarby	27	17	4	6	56	22	55
3	Djurgarden	27	16	4	7	55	25	52
4	BK Hacken	27	13	10	4	48	30	49
5	Elfsborg	27	12	10	5	41	27	46
6	Vasteras SK	27	13	5	9	40	38	44
7	Malmo FF	27	12	4	11	42	36	40
8	AIK	27	10	8	9	43	47	38
9	IFK Goteborg	27	10	8	9	36	46	38
10	GAIS	27	10	7	10	34	27	37
11	Brommapojkarna	27	9	7	11	39	44	34
12	Mjällby AIF	27	6	9	12	30	43	27
13	Kalmar FF	27	6	5	16	23	42	23
14	Degerfors	27	5	5	17	22	46	20
15	Orgryte IS	27	4	7	16	33	60	19
16	Halmstad	27	4	5	18	18	51	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIK	BK Hacken
GAIS	1-2 L	0-0 D
Sirius	2-1 W	3-0 W
IFK Goteborg	2-2 D	1-0 W
Brommapojkarna	5-6 L	0-0 D
Mjällby AIF	1-1 D	1-1 D
Vasteras SK	1-4 L	1-3 L
Malmo FF	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIK

WDLDLLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
27/10	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
24/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-1	1	3	W
17/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
10/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	5-6	11	5	L
20/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
16/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
12/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-4	5	1	L
07/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	3-2	1	5	W

BK Hacken

WLDDWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
28/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
24/10	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	4-0	4-0	3	2	W
18/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
11/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	9	4	W
20/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
11/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
05/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
29/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
21/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIK vs BK Hacken?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BK Hacken win (54%). Probabilities: AIK 22%, draw 24%, BK Hacken 54%.

How many goals are expected in AIK vs BK Hacken?

The model expects 2.96 goals (AIK 1.1 · BK Hacken 1.86), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AIK vs BK Hacken?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.