Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 07/11, 17:30

Prediction: Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK

Team pages: Orgryte IS · Vasteras SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Orgryte IS1.21

Vasteras SK1.53

1X2

29% 28% 44%

Orgryte IS Draw Vasteras SK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Orgryte IS 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLWDLL

Vasteras SK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Orgryte IS 1–3–2 Vasteras SK (6 last)

Vasteras SK2-0Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS0-2Vasteras SK
Vasteras SK1-1Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS1-0Vasteras SK
Vasteras SK0-0Orgryte IS
Vasteras SK1-1Orgryte IS

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasteras SK (rating 1437 vs 1541).
H2H favours Vasteras SK: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orgryte IS	Vasteras SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.92

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.85 → 2.85	Pinn 2.85
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75
2	2.28 → 2.28	Pinn 2.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:03 +28’	2.85	3.75	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orgryte IS 1–3–2 Vasteras SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Vasteras SK	2-0 HT 1-0	Orgryte IS
24/10/25 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	0-2 HT 0-1	Vasteras SK
08/04/25 Sweden Superettan	Vasteras SK	1-1 HT 1-1	Orgryte IS
04/11/23 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	1-0 HT 0-0	Vasteras SK
10/04/23 Sweden Superettan	Vasteras SK	0-0 HT 0-0	Orgryte IS
27/08/22 Sweden Superettan	Vasteras SK	1-1 HT 1-0	Orgryte IS

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	26	17	4	5	56	34	55
2	Hammarby	26	16	4	6	54	21	52
3	Djurgarden	26	15	4	7	53	24	49
4	BK Hacken	26	12	10	4	47	30	46
5	Elfsborg	26	11	10	5	39	26	43
6	Vasteras SK	26	12	5	9	39	38	41
7	Malmo FF	26	12	4	10	41	34	40
8	AIK	26	10	8	8	42	45	38
9	IFK Goteborg	26	10	8	8	36	45	38
10	GAIS	26	9	7	10	32	26	34
11	Brommapojkarna	26	9	7	10	39	43	34
12	Mjällby AIF	26	6	8	12	30	43	26
13	Kalmar FF	26	6	4	16	23	42	22
14	Degerfors	26	5	5	16	21	44	20
15	Orgryte IS	26	4	7	15	32	58	19
16	Halmstad	26	4	5	17	18	49	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orgryte IS	Vasteras SK
Mjällby AIF	1-2 L	1-0 W
BK Hacken	0-3 L	3-1 W
Sirius	1-2 L	0-1 L
Malmo FF	1-4 L	2-0 W
IFK Goteborg	0-1 L	0-1 L
Halmstad	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vasteras SK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orgryte IS

DLDLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
29/10	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
24/10	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-2	4	1	D
18/10	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	4-2	3	3	W
11/10	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
19/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
13/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-4	3	4	L
06/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
22/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	3	2	D

Vasteras SK

DWLWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
28/10	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
23/10	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-2	10	1	L
18/10	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
19/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
12/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	4-1	3	1	W
05/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
29/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
23/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vasteras SK win (44%). Probabilities: Orgryte IS 29%, draw 28%, Vasteras SK 44%.

How many goals are expected in Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Orgryte IS 1.21 · Vasteras SK 1.53), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.