Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Halmstad vs Djurgarden

Team pages: Halmstad · Djurgarden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Halmstad0.78

Djurgarden2.12

1X2

12% 20% 68%

Halmstad Draw Djurgarden

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Halmstad 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWLLWL

Djurgarden 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWDDW

Head-to-head

Halmstad 2–1–3 Djurgarden (6 last)

Djurgarden3-0Halmstad
Djurgarden1-1Halmstad
Halmstad1-0Djurgarden
Halmstad1-0Djurgarden
Djurgarden2-0Halmstad
Djurgarden1-0Halmstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Halmstad 1467 · Djurgarden 1610

	Halmstad	Draw	Djurgarden
Our model	12%	21%	67%
Market	12%	20%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1467 vs 1610).
H2H favours Djurgarden: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Halmstad	Djurgarden
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

17.50

X4.75

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:48 +25’	7.50	4.75	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Halmstad 2–1–3 Djurgarden

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	3-0 HT 2-0	Halmstad
03/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	1-1 HT 1-1	Halmstad
01/06/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-0 HT 0-0	Djurgarden
03/11/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-0 HT 0-0	Djurgarden
20/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	2-0 HT 2-0	Halmstad
30/09/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	1-0 HT 0-0	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby	27	17	4	6	56	22	55
2	Sirius	26	17	4	5	56	34	55
3	Djurgarden	27	16	4	7	55	25	52
4	BK Hacken	27	13	10	4	48	30	49
5	Elfsborg	27	12	10	5	41	27	46
6	Vasteras SK	27	13	5	9	40	38	44
7	Malmo FF	27	12	4	11	42	36	40
8	AIK	27	10	8	9	43	47	38
9	IFK Goteborg	27	10	8	9	36	46	38
10	GAIS	27	10	7	10	34	27	37
11	Brommapojkarna	27	9	7	11	39	44	34
12	Mjällby AIF	27	6	9	12	30	43	27
13	Kalmar FF	27	6	5	16	23	42	23
14	Degerfors	27	5	5	17	22	46	20
15	Orgryte IS	27	4	7	16	33	60	19
16	Halmstad	26	4	5	17	18	49	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Halmstad	Djurgarden
Hammarby	0-1 L	1-0 W
Elfsborg	0-4 L	1-2 L
IFK Goteborg	1-2 L	1-1 D
Degerfors	0-2 L	2-1 W
Kalmar FF	1-0 W	1-0 W
Orgryte IS	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halmstad

LDWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
23/10	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-1	1	1	W
18/10	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
12/10	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
20/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
12/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
05/09	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	1	5	L

Djurgarden

WWWWLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
28/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
24/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	3	1	D
16/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
11/10	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
20/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
14/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
07/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/08	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	4-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halmstad vs Djurgarden?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Djurgarden win (68%). Probabilities: Halmstad 12%, draw 20%, Djurgarden 68%.

How many goals are expected in Halmstad vs Djurgarden?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Halmstad 0.78 · Djurgarden 2.12), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Halmstad vs Djurgarden?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.