Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 08/11, 16:30

Prediction: Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF

Team pages: Brommapojkarna · Mjällby AIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Brommapojkarna1.35

Mjällby AIF1.31

1X2

37% 28% 35%

Brommapojkarna Draw Mjällby AIF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLWDL

Mjällby AIF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDLLWD

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna 1–2–3 Mjällby AIF (6 last)

Mjällby AIF3-0Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna0-1Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF1-0Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna0-0Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF1-1Brommapojkarna
Mjällby AIF1-2Brommapojkarna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna 1479 · Mjällby AIF 1481

	Brommapojkarna	Draw	Mjällby AIF
Our model	37%	29%	35%
Market	38%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mjällby AIF: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna	Mjällby AIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	0.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 05:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.38 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.79 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:58 +16’	2.70	3.50	2.38
06:55 +25’	2.50▼	3.50	2.50▲
10:21 +1’	2.35▼	3.50	2.63▲
05:22 +2’	2.50▲	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:41 +6’	2.54	3.41	2.66
20:35 +10’	2.56▲	3.44▲	2.67▲
10:02 +19’	2.44▼	3.44	2.82▲
01:28 +1’	2.41▼	3.44	2.86▲
21:51 +17’	2.45▲	3.46▲	2.79▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna 1–2–3 Mjällby AIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	3-0 HT 3-0	Brommapojkarna
28/09/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	0-1 HT 0-0	Mjällby AIF
19/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	1-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna
21/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	0-0 HT 0-0	Mjällby AIF
04/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	1-1 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna
15/03/24 Club Friendly List	Mjällby AIF	1-2 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	27	18	4	5	58	34	58
2	Hammarby	27	17	4	6	56	22	55
3	Djurgarden	27	16	4	7	55	25	52
4	BK Hacken	27	13	10	4	48	30	49
5	Elfsborg	27	12	10	5	41	27	46
6	Vasteras SK	27	13	5	9	40	38	44
7	Malmo FF	27	12	4	11	42	36	40
8	AIK	27	10	8	9	43	47	38
9	IFK Goteborg	27	10	8	9	36	46	38
10	GAIS	27	10	7	10	34	27	37
11	Brommapojkarna	27	9	7	11	39	44	34
12	Mjällby AIF	27	6	9	12	30	43	27
13	Kalmar FF	27	6	5	16	23	42	23
14	Degerfors	27	5	5	17	22	46	20
15	Orgryte IS	27	4	7	16	33	60	19
16	Halmstad	27	4	5	18	18	51	17

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna	Mjällby AIF
Vasteras SK	0-1 L	0-1 L
BK Hacken	0-0 D	1-1 D
Kalmar FF	3-0 W	0-0 D
Djurgarden	0-2 L	0-2 L
AIK	6-5 W	1-1 D
IFK Goteborg	0-1 L	1-4 L
Hammarby	1-3 L	0-2 L
GAIS	0-4 L	0-3 L
Degerfors	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 4 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Brommapojkarna (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna

WLWLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
28/10	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
24/10	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
16/10	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
10/10	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	6-5	0	5	W
19/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
13/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
06/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
31/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
23/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W

Mjällby AIF

LLDDLDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
29/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
25/10	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
18/10	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
10/10	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
20/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
16/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
11/09	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
07/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-4	4	5	L
03/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brommapojkarna win (37%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna 37%, draw 28%, Mjällby AIF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Brommapojkarna 1.35 · Mjällby AIF 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.