Prediction: Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC
Team pages: Columbus Crew · Toronto FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Columbus Crew1.83
Toronto FC1.48
1X2
Columbus Crew
Draw
Toronto FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Columbus Crew
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Toronto FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew
3–2–1
Toronto FC
(6 last)
- Toronto FC2-1Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew1-1Toronto FC
- Toronto FC1-1Columbus Crew
- Toronto FC0-2Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew4-0Toronto FC
- Columbus Crew2-0Toronto FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Columbus Crew: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew 3–2–1 Toronto FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 USA MLS | Toronto FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Columbus Crew |
| 21/09/25 USA MLS | Columbus Crew | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Toronto FC |
| 17/08/25 USA MLS | Toronto FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Columbus Crew |
| 19/09/24 USA MLS | Toronto FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew |
| 07/07/24 USA MLS | Columbus Crew | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Toronto FC |
| 27/08/23 USA MLS | Columbus Crew | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Toronto FC |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64 | 23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73 | 51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61 | 48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58 | 70 | 41 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 56 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 60 | 68 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 55 | 36 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 34 |
| 12 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 51 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 47 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 60 | 25 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 2-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Inter Miami CF | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CF Montreal | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| New York Red Bulls | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Nashville SC | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 11 | W |
| 20/09 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | DC United USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Toronto FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/10 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
2-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | New York City FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew win (45%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew 45%, draw 25%, Toronto FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Columbus Crew 1.83 · Toronto FC 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.