Prediction: New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF
Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Inter Miami CF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
New York Red Bulls1.7
Inter Miami CF1.66
1X2
New York Red Bulls
Draw
Inter Miami CF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
New York Red Bulls
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Inter Miami CF
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New York Red Bulls
1–1–4
Inter Miami CF
(6 last)
- Inter Miami CF2-2New York Red Bulls
- New York Red Bulls1-5Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF4-1New York Red Bulls
- Inter Miami CF6-2New York Red Bulls
- New York Red Bulls4-0Inter Miami CF
- New York Red Bulls0-2Inter Miami CF
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Miami CF (rating 1475 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New York Red Bulls | Inter Miami CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New York Red Bulls 1–1–4 Inter Miami CF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 USA MLS | Inter Miami CF | 2-2 HT 1-1 | New York Red Bulls |
| 20/07/25 USA MLS | New York Red Bulls | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Inter Miami CF |
| 04/05/25 USA MLS | Inter Miami CF | 4-1 HT 3-1 | New York Red Bulls |
| 05/05/24 USA MLS | Inter Miami CF | 6-2 HT 0-1 | New York Red Bulls |
| 23/03/24 USA MLS | New York Red Bulls | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF |
| 27/08/23 USA MLS | New York Red Bulls | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Inter Miami CF |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64 | 23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73 | 51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61 | 48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58 | 70 | 41 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 56 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 60 | 70 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46 | 47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 51 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 60 | 25 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New York Red Bulls | Inter Miami CF |
|---|---|---|
| DC United | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| San Diego FC | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| New York City FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Columbus Crew | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Philadelphia Union | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Chicago Fire | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Nashville SC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Miami CF (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New York Red Bulls
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | DC United USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/10 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | New York City FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Inter Miami CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | New York City FC USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | DC United USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/09 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 21/09 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
2-1 | 7-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New York Red Bulls win (38%). Probabilities: New York Red Bulls 38%, draw 25%, Inter Miami CF 37%.
How many goals are expected in New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF?
The model expects 3.36 goals (New York Red Bulls 1.7 · Inter Miami CF 1.66), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.