Football · USA MLS · 25/10, 03:30

Prediction: San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders

Team pages: San Diego FC · Seattle Sounders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

San Diego FC1.77

Seattle Sounders1.48

1X2

44% 25% 31%

San Diego FC Draw Seattle Sounders

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

San Diego FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDDLDD

Seattle Sounders 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWWWLD

Head-to-head

San Diego FC 1–1–1 Seattle Sounders (3 last)

Seattle Sounders1-1San Diego FC
Seattle Sounders1-0San Diego FC
San Diego FC3-0Seattle Sounders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Diego FC 1456 · Seattle Sounders 1534

	San Diego FC	Draw	Seattle Sounders
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seattle Sounders (rating 1456 vs 1534).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Diego FC	Seattle Sounders
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.4	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	3.1 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 00:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.19 ★
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.91
2	3.10 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 5.5% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:06 +11’	2.05	3.80	3.10
18:19 +12’	2.15▲	3.80	2.90▼
15:27 +2’	2.15	3.90▲	2.90
00:07 +5’	2.15	3.90	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +450’	2.19	3.91	2.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Diego FC 1–1–1 Seattle Sounders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 USA MLS	Seattle Sounders	1-1 HT 0-1	San Diego FC
29/05/25 USA MLS	Seattle Sounders	1-0 HT 0-0	San Diego FC
06/04/25 USA MLS	San Diego FC	3-0 HT 3-0	Seattle Sounders

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	30	16	7	7	63	31	55
2	St. Louis City SC	30	14	9	7	56	41	51
3	FC Dallas	30	14	9	7	55	47	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	30	13	9	8	52	42	48
5	Houston Dynamo	30	13	8	9	41	39	47
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	48	33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	30	11	9	10	39	37	42
8	LA Galaxy	31	10	10	11	43	52	40
9	Colorado Rapids	30	11	6	13	41	41	39
10	Real Salt Lake	30	10	6	14	45	48	36
11	Portland Timbers	30	9	7	14	51	56	34
12	San Diego FC	30	8	10	12	53	56	34
13	Minnesota United	30	8	10	12	47	55	34
14	Austin FC	30	7	10	13	38	56	31
15	Sporting Kansas City	30	6	4	20	36	75	22

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Diego FC	Seattle Sounders
LA Galaxy	2-2 D	1-1 D
New York Red Bulls	1-4 L	0-0 D
Colorado Rapids	3-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Diego FC

WWLLLDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	LA Galaxy USA MLS	2-2	2-2	3	3	D
15/10	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	2-3	3-3	10	6	D
11/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-3	1-4	7	5	L
27/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	3-3	1	1	D
21/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
14/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	0-5	11	4	L
10/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-3	2-3	1	10	L
06/09	Orlando City SC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
30/08	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-0	3-1	7	7	W
23/08	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	2-0	3-0	2	3	W

Seattle Sounders

DDDDWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
15/10	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-0	0-1	11	2	L
11/10	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
02/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-1	2-1	11	2	W
27/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
24/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
20/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	3-3	6	1	D
13/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
06/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
29/08	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Diego FC win (44%). Probabilities: San Diego FC 44%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 31%.

How many goals are expected in San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders?

The model expects 3.25 goals (San Diego FC 1.77 · Seattle Sounders 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.