Football · USA MLS · 25/10, 03:30

Prediction: Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC

Team pages: Portland Timbers · Charlotte FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Portland Timbers1.96

Charlotte FC1.5

1X2

47% 24% 29%

Portland Timbers Draw Charlotte FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Timbers 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDLLLDLD

Charlotte FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWLWLD

Head-to-head

Portland Timbers 0–2 Charlotte FC (2 last)

Charlotte FC2-0Portland Timbers
Charlotte FC2-0Portland Timbers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portland Timbers 1448 · Charlotte FC 1534

	Portland Timbers	Draw	Charlotte FC
Our model	48%	24%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlotte FC (rating 1448 vs 1534).
H2H favours Charlotte FC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Timbers	Charlotte FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	3.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.01
X	3.80 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.10 ★
2	3.25 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 5.3% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:06 +12’	2.00	3.80	3.25
15:11 +7’	1.91▼	3.90▲	3.40▲
02:16 +2’	1.91	3.90	3.30▼
15:27 +2’	2.00▲	4.00▲	3.20▼
01:11 +5’	2.00	4.00	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +452’	1.96	4.13	3.34
18:33 +54’	2.05▲	4.09▼	3.14▼
12:06 +12’	2.05	4.07▼	3.15▲
00:57 +18’	2.01▼	4.10▲	3.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Timbers 0–0–2 Charlotte FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/25 World Club Friendlies	Charlotte FC	2-0	Portland Timbers
05/05/24 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Portland Timbers

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	30	16	7	7	63	31	55
2	St. Louis City SC	30	14	9	7	56	41	51
3	FC Dallas	30	14	9	7	55	47	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	30	13	9	8	52	42	48
5	Houston Dynamo	30	13	8	9	41	39	47
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	48	33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	30	11	9	10	39	37	42
8	LA Galaxy	31	10	10	11	43	52	40
9	Colorado Rapids	30	11	6	13	41	41	39
10	Real Salt Lake	30	10	6	14	45	48	36
11	Portland Timbers	30	9	7	14	51	56	34
12	San Diego FC	30	8	10	12	53	56	34
13	Minnesota United	30	8	10	12	47	55	34
14	Austin FC	30	7	10	13	38	56	31
15	Sporting Kansas City	30	6	4	20	36	75	22

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Timbers	Charlotte FC
Atlanta United	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Dallas	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Charlotte FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portland Timbers

DLWDLLLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
15/10	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
11/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	2-1	3-3	1	1	D
27/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-3	1-3	9	3	L
20/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
13/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
10/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
06/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	3-2	5-4	4	4	W
30/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
23/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	0	4	D

Charlotte FC

WWDWDWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
15/10	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
11/10	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	3-2	14	2	W
27/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
20/09	DC United USA MLS	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
13/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
10/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
06/09	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
30/08	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
23/08	DC United USA MLS	0-0	3-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Timbers win (47%). Probabilities: Portland Timbers 47%, draw 24%, Charlotte FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Portland Timbers 1.96 · Charlotte FC 1.5), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.