Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: Hammarby vs Elfsborg

Team pages: Hammarby · Elfsborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Hammarby1.77

Elfsborg0.87

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Hammarby Draw Elfsborg

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hammarby 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWLWWW

Elfsborg 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWDDD

Head-to-head

Hammarby 5–1–0 Elfsborg (6 last)

Elfsborg1-2Hammarby
Hammarby3-0Elfsborg
Elfsborg0-2Hammarby
Elfsborg0-0Hammarby
Hammarby3-0Elfsborg
Hammarby1-0Elfsborg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (rating 1609 vs 1529).
H2H favours Hammarby: 5-1-0.
High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hammarby	Elfsborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.7 / 7.8	2.6 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:23

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.41▼	Pinn 1.41
X	4.85 → 4.92▲	Pinn 4.92
2	6.65 → 6.75▲	Pinn 6.75

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:43 +19’	1.42	4.85	6.65
19:03 +20’	1.41▼	4.92▲	6.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby 5–1–0 Elfsborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1-2 HT 0-0	Hammarby
09/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	3-0 HT 1-0	Elfsborg
31/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	0-2 HT 0-0	Hammarby
22/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	0-0 HT 0-0	Hammarby
15/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	3-0 HT 0-0	Elfsborg
13/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	1-0 HT 1-0	Elfsborg

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	26	17	4	5	56	34	55
2	Hammarby	26	16	4	6	54	21	52
3	Djurgarden	26	15	4	7	53	24	49
4	BK Hacken	26	12	10	4	47	30	46
5	Elfsborg	26	11	10	5	39	26	43
6	Vasteras SK	26	12	5	9	39	38	41
7	Malmo FF	26	12	4	10	41	34	40
8	AIK	26	10	8	8	42	45	38
9	IFK Goteborg	26	10	8	8	36	45	38
10	GAIS	26	9	7	10	32	26	34
11	Brommapojkarna	26	9	7	10	39	43	34
12	Mjällby AIF	26	6	8	12	30	43	26
13	Kalmar FF	26	6	4	16	23	42	22
14	Degerfors	26	5	5	16	21	44	20
15	Orgryte IS	26	4	7	15	32	58	19
16	Halmstad	26	4	5	17	18	49	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hammarby	Elfsborg
Sirius	2-0 W	2-2 D
Halmstad	1-0 W	4-0 W
Djurgarden	0-1 L	2-1 W
Degerfors	1-0 W	2-0 W
Brommapojkarna	3-1 W	1-2 L
AIK	2-3 L	2-2 D
Kalmar FF	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Elfsborg (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby

WWLDWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	10	6	W
25/10	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
18/10	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
11/10	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
20/09	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
13/09	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-1	6	1	W
06/09	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
30/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-3	7	5	L
23/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
16/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	4-0	9	1	W

Elfsborg

WDWLWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	10	3	D
23/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
18/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	8	4	D
12/10	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
20/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
13/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
06/09	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
23/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
14/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby vs Elfsborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby win (58%). Probabilities: Hammarby 58%, draw 25%, Elfsborg 17%.

How many goals are expected in Hammarby vs Elfsborg?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Hammarby 1.77 · Elfsborg 0.87), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hammarby vs Elfsborg?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.