Prediction: JS Hercules vs JBK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
JS Hercules1.43
JBK2.17
1X2
25% 21% 54%
JS Hercules Draw JBK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JS Hercules 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLDD
JBK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLDWLWL
Head-to-head
JS Hercules 1–2–3 JBK (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JS Hercules 1396 · JBK 1485
JS HerculesDrawJBK
Our model24%22%54%
Market25%21%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JBK (rating 1396 vs 1485).
  • H2H favours JBK: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JS HerculesJBK
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 3.41.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.21 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.12.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.14.4 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · JS Hercules 123 JBK

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK3-0
HT 1-0
JS Hercules
01/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules0-3
HT 0-3
JBK
30/05/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK2-1
HT 1-0
JS Hercules
29/06/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules2-2
HT 0-0
JBK
20/04/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK0-2
HT 0-1
JS Hercules
23/09/23
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules1-1
HT 1-1
JBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GBK 13805 332524
2 FF Jaro II 12705 263621
3 Narpes Kraft 13616 413319
4 Huima/Urho 12534 292318
5 TP-47 12453 222117
6 SJK Akatemia II 12525 192217
7 VPS-J 12444 302416
8 JBK 12516 201816
9 FC Vaajakoski 12426 253014
10 JS Hercules 12327 173011

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJS HerculesJBK
Huima/Urho 0-0 D 2-3 L
FC Vaajakoski 2-2 D 2-3 L
GBK 0-7 L 0-2 L
FF Jaro II 1-2 L 0-3 L
VPS-J 1-5 L 1-2 L
SJK Akatemia II 0-3 L 3-0 W
Narpes Kraft 1-2 L 4-2 W
TP-47 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 6 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JBK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JS Hercules

LLLLLLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 0-0 63 D
04/07 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 2-2 12 D
27/06 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-5 0-7 42 L
14/06 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 1-2 34 L
05/06 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 1-5 14 L
27/05 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-2 0-3 84 L
23/05 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 1-2 125 L
16/05 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 0-3 L
12/05 FC Inter
Finland Cup
0-3 0-8 02 L
09/05 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 1-2 21 L

JBK

LLWLLDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 0-2 66 L
07/07 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 4-2 85 W
27/06 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-2 2-3 L
12/06 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 3-0 55 W
06/06 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-1 35 D
29/05 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-2 0-3 35 L
23/05 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-3 33 L
16/05 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 3-0 W
08/05 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-2 74 L
04/05 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-2 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JS Hercules vs JBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JBK win (54%). Probabilities: JS Hercules 25%, draw 21%, JBK 54%.

How many goals are expected in JS Hercules vs JBK?

The model expects 3.61 goals (JS Hercules 1.43 · JBK 2.17), with a 58% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JS Hercules vs JBK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.