Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 23/07, 18:00

Prediction: TP-47 vs JS Hercules

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.08Total
TP-472.56
JS Hercules1.52
1X2
60% 19% 21%
TP-47 Draw JS Hercules
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
TP-47 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWDWDLLLDL
JS Hercules 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLDDW
Head-to-head
TP-47 4–1–1 JS Hercules (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP-47 1467 · JS Hercules 1429
TP-47DrawJS Hercules
Our model59%20%21%
Market60%19%21%
Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours TP-47: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TP-47JS Hercules
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 21 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 10.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 41.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-47 411 JS Hercules

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules1-2
HT 0-0
TP-47
28/02/26
Europe Friendlies
JS Hercules1-1
HT 0-1
TP-47
24/07/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
TP-471-5
HT 1-2
JS Hercules
22/05/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules1-5
HT 0-2
TP-47
25/07/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
TP-473-2
HT 1-1
JS Hercules
16/05/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules1-7
HT 1-2
TP-47

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GBK 13805 332524
2 FF Jaro II 13805 283624
3 Huima/Urho 13634 302321
4 VPS-J 13544 362619
5 Narpes Kraft 13616 413319
6 TP-47 13454 222317
7 SJK Akatemia II 13526 212817
8 JBK 13517 232316
9 FC Vaajakoski 13427 253114
10 JS Hercules 13427 223314

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTP-47JS Hercules
FF Jaro II 0-2 L 1-2 L
SJK Akatemia II 0-0 D 0-3 L
GBK 3-4 L 0-7 L
VPS-J 0-3 L 1-5 L
FC Vaajakoski 2-3 L 2-2 D
JBK 1-1 D 5-3 W
Narpes Kraft 2-1 W 1-2 L
Huima/Urho 4-4 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: TP-47 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TP-47

WWDWDLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 0-2 31 L
12/07 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 0-0 04 D
04/07 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-1 3-4 L
27/06 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 0-3 62 L
14/06 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-2 2-3 17 L
06/06 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-1 45 D
31/05 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-1 20 W
23/05 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-3 4-4 84 D
16/05 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 3-1 W
09/05 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 2-1 81 W

JS Hercules

LLLLLLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
3-1 5-3 43 W
11/07 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 0-0 63 D
04/07 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 2-2 12 D
27/06 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-5 0-7 42 L
14/06 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 1-2 34 L
05/06 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 1-5 14 L
27/05 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-2 0-3 84 L
23/05 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 1-2 125 L
16/05 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 0-3 L
12/05 FC Inter
Finland Cup
0-3 0-8 02 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP-47 vs JS Hercules?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-47 win (60%). Probabilities: TP-47 60%, draw 19%, JS Hercules 21%.

How many goals are expected in TP-47 vs JS Hercules?

The model expects 4.08 goals (TP-47 2.56 · JS Hercules 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in TP-47 vs JS Hercules?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.