Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: Huima/Urho vs SJK Akatemia II

See it on the live radar ↗

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

Huima/Urho2.76

SJK Akatemia II1.36

1X2

66% 18% 16%

Huima/Urho Draw SJK Akatemia II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Huima/Urho 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWLDW

SJK Akatemia II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWWDL

Head-to-head

Huima/Urho 1–0 SJK Akatemia II (1 last)

SJK Akatemia II0-1Huima/Urho

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huima/Urho 1552 · SJK Akatemia II 1479

	Huima/Urho	Draw	SJK Akatemia II
Our model	66%	18%	16%
Market	66%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1552 vs 1479).
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huima/Urho	SJK Akatemia II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.7 / 7.9	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.36▼	Bet365 1.36
X	5.00 → 4.75▼	Pinn 5.29 ★
2	4.75 → 5.75▲	Pinn 6.14

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:01 +9’	1.42	5.00	4.75
16:10 +3’	1.30▼	5.25▲	6.25▲
05:07 +2’	1.33▲	5.25	6.25
14:28 +1’	1.36▲	4.75▼	5.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:13	1.31	5.37	6.21
04:07 +1’	1.31▲	5.33▼	6.18▼
11:12 +1’	1.29▼	5.37▲	6.48▲
12:23	1.34▲	5.16▼	6.04▼
13:25 +1’	1.35▲	5.29▲	6.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Huima/Urho 1–0–0 SJK Akatemia II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	0-1 HT 0-0	Huima/Urho

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	14	8	1	5	34	26	25
2	FF Jaro II	14	8	1	5	29	37	25
3	Huima/Urho	13	6	3	4	30	23	21
4	VPS-J	13	5	4	4	36	26	19
5	Narpes Kraft	13	6	1	6	41	33	19
6	TP-47	14	4	5	5	22	24	17
7	SJK Akatemia II	13	5	2	6	21	28	17
8	JS Hercules	14	5	2	7	23	33	17
9	JBK	13	5	1	7	23	23	16
10	FC Vaajakoski	13	4	2	7	25	31	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huima/Urho	SJK Akatemia II
FC Vaajakoski	1-0 W	3-0 W
JS Hercules	0-0 D	3-0 W
VPS-J	1-3 L	2-6 L
JBK	3-2 W	0-3 L
Narpes Kraft	3-1 W	0-4 L
FF Jaro II	7-1 W	3-2 W
GBK	1-2 L	0-4 L
TP-47	4-4 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Huima/Urho (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huima/Urho

WWDLWWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
05/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
27/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
06/06	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	7-1	9	2	W
29/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-2	11	5	L
23/05	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-2	4-4	5	4	D
16/05	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-2	4	3	W
07/05	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	8	3	W

SJK Akatemia II

LWLWLLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
08/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
30/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
12/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
06/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	4	L
27/05	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
23/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
18/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
07/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huima/Urho vs SJK Akatemia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huima/Urho win (66%). Probabilities: Huima/Urho 66%, draw 18%, SJK Akatemia II 16%.

How many goals are expected in Huima/Urho vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Huima/Urho 2.76 · SJK Akatemia II 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Huima/Urho vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.