Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 19/07, 18:00

Prediction: VPS-J vs SJK Akatemia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.59Total

VPS-J2.92

SJK Akatemia II1.67

1X2

62% 18% 19%

VPS-J Draw SJK Akatemia II

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

VPS-J 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWLWWL

SJK Akatemia II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLLWWD

Head-to-head

VPS-J 2–2 SJK Akatemia II (4 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VPS-J 1526 · SJK Akatemia II 1480

	VPS-J	Draw	SJK Akatemia II
Our model	63%	18%	20%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 4.59 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VPS-J (rating 1526 vs 1480).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VPS-J	SJK Akatemia II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.9	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.6	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.88

Under 4.51.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.8

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.45▲	Bet365 1.45
X	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
2	5.50 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:16 +1’	1.36	5.00	5.50
09:06 +13’	1.45▲	4.75▼	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VPS-J 2–0–2 SJK Akatemia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	3-2 HT 1-1	VPS-J
03/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	3-7 HT 1-1	VPS-J
19/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	5-2 HT 3-2	VPS-J
06/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	4-0 HT 2-0	SJK Akatemia II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	13	8	0	5	33	25	24
2	Huima/Urho	13	6	3	4	30	23	21
3	FF Jaro II	12	7	0	5	26	36	21
4	Narpes Kraft	13	6	1	6	41	33	19
5	TP-47	12	4	5	3	22	21	17
6	SJK Akatemia II	12	5	2	5	19	22	17
7	VPS-J	12	4	4	4	30	24	16
8	JBK	12	5	1	6	20	18	16
9	FC Vaajakoski	13	4	2	7	25	31	14
10	JS Hercules	12	3	2	7	17	30	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VPS-J	SJK Akatemia II
Narpes Kraft	2-3 L	0-4 L
Huima/Urho	3-1 W	0-1 L
TP-47	3-0 W	0-0 D
GBK	3-4 L	0-4 L
JS Hercules	5-1 W	3-0 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-2 D	3-0 W
FF Jaro II	1-2 L	3-2 W
JBK	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VPS-J (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPS-J

DWLLDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
05/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
27/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
14/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-4	4	1	L
05/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	5-1	5	4	W
27/05	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	2-2	8	3	D
21/05	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/05	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
08/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	11	4	W
03/05	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-2	8	3	D

SJK Akatemia II

DLWLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
08/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
30/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
12/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
06/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	4	L
27/05	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
23/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
18/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
07/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
03/05	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPS-J vs SJK Akatemia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VPS-J win (62%). Probabilities: VPS-J 62%, draw 18%, SJK Akatemia II 19%.

How many goals are expected in VPS-J vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model expects 4.59 goals (VPS-J 2.92 · SJK Akatemia II 1.67), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VPS-J vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.