Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 29/08, 06:30
Prediction: Kingborough Lions (W) vs Glenorchy Knights (W)
Team pages: Kingborough Lions (W) · Glenorchy Knights (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Kingborough Lions (W)1.22
Glenorchy Knights (W)2.21
1X2
Kingborough Lions (W)
Draw
Glenorchy Knights (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Kingborough Lions (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Glenorchy Knights (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kingborough Lions (W)
2–1–3
Glenorchy Knights (W)
(6 last)
- Glenorchy Knights (W)3-0Kingborough Lions (W)
- Glenorchy Knights (W)5-3Kingborough Lions (W)
- Glenorchy Knights (W)2-2Kingborough Lions (W)
- Kingborough Lions (W)2-0Glenorchy Knights (W)
- Kingborough Lions (W)0-1Glenorchy Knights (W)
- Glenorchy Knights (W)1-4Kingborough Lions (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kingborough Lions (W) 1514 · Glenorchy Knights (W) 1604
| Kingborough Lions (W) | Draw | Glenorchy Knights (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Market | 20% | 20% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glenorchy Knights (W) (rating 1514 vs 1604).
- H2H favours Glenorchy Knights (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kingborough Lions (W) | Glenorchy Knights (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.3 | 2.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kingborough Lions (W) 2–1–3 Glenorchy Knights (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
| 02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 5-3 HT 1-1 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
| 16/08/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
| 21/06/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Kingborough Lions (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
| 13/04/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Kingborough Lions (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
| 25/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 9 | 54 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 29 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 37 | 27 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 41 | 23 |
| 6 | Taroona (W) | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 46 | 20 |
| 7 | Launceston City (W) | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 60 | 16 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 18 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 97 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kingborough Lions (W) | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 4-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Taroona (W) | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| South Hobart (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Launceston United (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Launceston City (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Devonport City (W) | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Glenorchy Knights (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kingborough Lions (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
Glenorchy Knights (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 16/08 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kingborough Lions (W) vs Glenorchy Knights (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Glenorchy Knights (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Kingborough Lions (W) 20%, draw 21%, Glenorchy Knights (W) 59%.
How many goals are expected in Kingborough Lions (W) vs Glenorchy Knights (W)?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Kingborough Lions (W) 1.22 · Glenorchy Knights (W) 2.21), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kingborough Lions (W) vs Glenorchy Knights (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.