Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 06/09, 06:30

Prediction: Taroona (W) vs Launceston United (W)

Team pages: Taroona (W) · Launceston United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

Taroona (W)1.88

Launceston United (W)2.13

1X2

34% 22% 44%

Taroona (W) Draw Launceston United (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Taroona (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDLWWW

Launceston United (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWWDL

Head-to-head

Taroona (W) 1–1–4 Launceston United (W) (6 last)

Launceston United (W)4-1Taroona (W)
Launceston United (W)1-3Taroona (W)
Taroona (W)3-3Launceston United (W)
Launceston United (W)1-0Taroona (W)
Taroona (W)0-6Launceston United (W)
Launceston United (W)5-0Taroona (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taroona (W) 1506 · Launceston United (W) 1493

	Taroona (W)	Draw	Launceston United (W)
Our model	34%	22%	44%
Market	34%	22%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Launceston United (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taroona (W)	Launceston United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	2.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	3.9 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0.1	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X4.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:55 +4’	2.63	4.00	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taroona (W) 1–1–4 Launceston United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Launceston United (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Taroona (W)
09/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Launceston United (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Taroona (W)
13/09/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Taroona (W)	3-3 HT 3-0	Launceston United (W)
24/05/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Launceston United (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Taroona (W)
15/03/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Taroona (W)	0-6 HT 0-1	Launceston United (W)
17/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Launceston United (W)	5-0 HT 0-0	Taroona (W)

Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Devonport City (W)	20	19	0	1	99	9	57
2	Glenorchy Knights (W)	20	14	3	3	56	17	45
3	South Hobart (W)	19	10	2	7	51	36	32
4	Kingborough Lions (W)	19	8	3	8	36	40	27
5	Launceston United (W)	20	7	2	11	56	46	23
6	Taroona (W)	20	7	2	11	30	47	23
7	Launceston City (W)	19	4	4	11	22	64	16
8	Riverside Olympic (W)	19	0	2	17	8	99	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taroona (W)	Launceston United (W)
Riverside Olympic (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Launceston City (W)	3-0 W	7-0 W
Kingborough Lions (W)	3-2 W	1-2 L
Glenorchy Knights (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
South Hobart (W)	1-1 D	1-4 L
Devonport City (W)	1-2 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taroona (W)

DLWLLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-0	2-1	12	2	W
22/08	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
15/08	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-1	3-2	7	0	W
09/08	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
02/08	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
18/07	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-2	1-2	0	1	L
11/07	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	1-4	6	0	L
04/07	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	4-1	7	2	W
27/06	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	0-2	3	0	L
21/06	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-0	1-1	3	1	D

Launceston United (W)

LWLWLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	0-5	4	0	L
22/08	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
15/08	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	5-0	7-0	10	0	W
08/08	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	3-0	17	0	W
01/08	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-2	1-2	9	1	L
19/07	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	1-4	7	1	L
11/07	Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	4-1	3	0	W
04/07	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	0-5	5	0	L
27/06	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	6-0	13	1	W
20/06	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-3	0-5	6	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taroona (W) vs Launceston United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Launceston United (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Taroona (W) 34%, draw 22%, Launceston United (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Taroona (W) vs Launceston United (W)?

The model expects 4.02 goals (Taroona (W) 1.88 · Launceston United (W) 2.13), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Taroona (W) vs Launceston United (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.