Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 22/08, 06:30

Prediction: Taroona (W) vs Launceston City (W)

Team pages: Taroona (W) · Launceston City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Taroona (W)2.4

Launceston City (W)1.46

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Taroona (W) Draw Launceston City (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Taroona (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Launceston City (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Taroona (W) 1–2 Launceston City (W) (3 last)

Launceston City (W)2-1Taroona (W)
Taroona (W)0-5Launceston City (W)
Taroona (W)2-1Launceston City (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taroona (W) 1459 · Launceston City (W) 1476

	Taroona (W)	Draw	Launceston City (W)
Our model	58%	21%	22%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Launceston City (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taroona (W)	Launceston City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.4 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.7 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:51 +4’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taroona (W) 1–0–2 Launceston City (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Launceston City (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Taroona (W)
28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Taroona (W)	0-5 HT 0-2	Launceston City (W)
12/08/18 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Taroona (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Launceston City (W)

Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Devonport City (W)	18	17	0	1	87	7	51
2	Glenorchy Knights (W)	18	13	2	3	52	16	41
3	South Hobart (W)	17	9	2	6	45	28	29
4	Kingborough Lions (W)	17	7	3	7	32	37	24
5	Launceston United (W)	18	7	1	10	55	40	22
6	Taroona (W)	18	5	2	11	25	46	17
7	Launceston City (W)	17	4	4	9	21	57	16
8	Riverside Olympic (W)	17	0	2	15	7	93	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taroona (W)	Launceston City (W)
Kingborough Lions (W)	3-2 W	1-2 L
Glenorchy Knights (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Devonport City (W)	1-2 L	0-9 L
Launceston United (W)	1-4 L	0-7 L
Riverside Olympic (W)	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Taroona (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taroona (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-1	3-2	7	0	W
09/08	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
02/08	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
18/07	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-2	1-2	0	1	L
11/07	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	1-4	6	0	L
04/07	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	4-1	7	2	W
27/06	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	0-2	3	0	L
21/06	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
13/06	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	1-2	1	0	L
29/05	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-1	4-2	2	0	W

Launceston City (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-5	0-7	0	0	L
08/08	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-4	0-9	1	2	L
01/08	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
18/07	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-0	1-2	3	0	L
11/07	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	0-2	0	3	L
27/06	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-4	0-5	1	1	L
20/06	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
13/06	Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	2-1	6	0	W
30/05	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-2	3-3	5	2	D
24/05	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	2-2	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taroona (W) vs Launceston City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taroona (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Taroona (W) 57%, draw 21%, Launceston City (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Taroona (W) vs Launceston City (W)?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Taroona (W) 2.4 · Launceston City (W) 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Taroona (W) vs Launceston City (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.