Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 29/08, 08:45
Prediction: Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)
Team pages: Launceston City (W) · South Hobart (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.22Total
Launceston City (W)1.3
South Hobart (W)2.92
1X2
Launceston City (W)
Draw
South Hobart (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Launceston City (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
South Hobart (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Launceston City (W)
0–2
South Hobart (W)
(2 last)
- South Hobart (W)6-0Launceston City (W)
- South Hobart (W)2-0Launceston City (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Launceston City (W) 1435 · South Hobart (W) 1475
| Launceston City (W) | Draw | South Hobart (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| Market | 14% | 16% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.22 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (W) (rating 1435 vs 1475).
- H2H favours South Hobart (W): 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston City (W) | South Hobart (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.2 | 1.9 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston City (W) 0–0–2 South Hobart (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | South Hobart (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Launceston City (W) |
| 30/06/18 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | South Hobart (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Launceston City (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 9 | 54 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 29 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 37 | 27 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 41 | 23 |
| 6 | Taroona (W) | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 46 | 20 |
| 7 | Launceston City (W) | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 60 | 16 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 18 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 97 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston City (W) | South Hobart (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Taroona (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Launceston United (W) | 0-7 L | 4-1 W |
| Devonport City (W) | 0-9 L | 2-7 L |
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: South Hobart (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-5 | 0-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-9 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
South Hobart (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-4 | 2-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an South Hobart (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Launceston City (W) 14%, draw 16%, South Hobart (W) 70%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)?
The model expects 4.22 goals (Launceston City (W) 1.3 · South Hobart (W) 2.92), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.