Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 22/08, 06:30
Prediction: Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston United (W)
Team pages: Glenorchy Knights (W) · Launceston United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.9Total
Glenorchy Knights (W)2.6
Launceston United (W)1.31
1X2
Glenorchy Knights (W)
Draw
Launceston United (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Glenorchy Knights (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Launceston United (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Glenorchy Knights (W)
3–1–2
Launceston United (W)
(6 last)
- Glenorchy Knights (W)4-0Launceston United (W)
- Launceston United (W)1-1Glenorchy Knights (W)
- Launceston United (W)3-2Glenorchy Knights (W)
- Glenorchy Knights (W)4-2Launceston United (W)
- Glenorchy Knights (W)2-4Launceston United (W)
- Launceston United (W)1-4Glenorchy Knights (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Glenorchy Knights (W) 1587 · Launceston United (W) 1509
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | Draw | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glenorchy Knights (W) (rating 1587 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Glenorchy Knights (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.5 | 2.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/0/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 4.1 / 8.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights (W) 3–1–2 Launceston United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Launceston United (W) |
| 28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
| 06/09/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
| 05/07/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Launceston United (W) |
| 10/05/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Launceston United (W) |
| 27/07/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 18 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 7 | 51 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 52 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 29 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 37 | 24 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 40 | 22 |
| 6 | Taroona (W) | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 46 | 17 |
| 7 | Launceston City (W) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 57 | 16 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 17 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 93 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glenorchy Knights (W) | Launceston United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| South Hobart (W) | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Taroona (W) | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Devonport City (W) | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 5-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Launceston City (W) | 2-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Glenorchy Knights (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glenorchy Knights (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Launceston United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
5-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 17 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Glenorchy Knights (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights (W) 64%, draw 19%, Launceston United (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Glenorchy Knights (W) 2.6 · Launceston United (W) 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.