Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 29/08, 06:30

Prediction: Launceston United (W) vs Devonport City (W)

Team pages: Launceston United (W) · Devonport City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.54Total

Launceston United (W)1.27

Devonport City (W)3.27

1X2

8% 11% 81%

Launceston United (W) Draw Devonport City (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Launceston United (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWWD

Devonport City (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Launceston United (W) 0–6 Devonport City (W) (6 last)

Devonport City (W)5-0Launceston United (W)
Launceston United (W)2-3Devonport City (W)
Devonport City (W)1-0Launceston United (W)
Devonport City (W)5-0Launceston United (W)
Launceston United (W)0-3Devonport City (W)
Devonport City (W)4-1Launceston United (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Launceston United (W) 1492 · Devonport City (W) 1618

	Launceston United (W)	Draw	Devonport City (W)
Our model	11%	14%	75%
Market	5%	9%	85%

Estimated total (ours) 4.54 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devonport City (W) (rating 1492 vs 1618).
H2H favours Devonport City (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 16.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Launceston United (W)	Devonport City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.2	5.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 7.9	3.8 / 8.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

117.00

X10.00

21.07

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3)1.93

2 (-3)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.95

Under 4.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 5.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:51 +7’	17.00	10.00	1.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston United (W) 0–0–6 Devonport City (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Devonport City (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Launceston United (W)
01/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Launceston United (W)	2-3 HT 2-2	Devonport City (W)
23/08/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Devonport City (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Launceston United (W)
28/06/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Devonport City (W)	5-0 HT 1-0	Launceston United (W)
26/04/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Launceston United (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Devonport City (W)
03/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Devonport City (W)	4-1 HT 3-1	Launceston United (W)

Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Devonport City (W)	19	18	0	1	94	9	54
2	Glenorchy Knights (W)	19	13	3	3	53	17	42
3	South Hobart (W)	18	9	2	7	47	35	29
4	Kingborough Lions (W)	18	8	3	7	36	37	27
5	Launceston United (W)	19	7	2	10	56	41	23
6	Taroona (W)	19	6	2	11	28	46	20
7	Launceston City (W)	18	4	4	10	21	60	16
8	Riverside Olympic (W)	18	0	2	16	7	97	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Launceston United (W)	Devonport City (W)
Glenorchy Knights (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Launceston City (W)	7-0 W	9-0 W
Riverside Olympic (W)	3-0 W	9-0 W
Kingborough Lions (W)	1-2 L	3-1 W
South Hobart (W)	1-4 L	7-2 W
Taroona (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Devonport City (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Launceston United (W)

LLWLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
15/08	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	5-0	7-0	10	0	W
08/08	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	3-0	17	0	W
01/08	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-2	1-2	9	1	L
19/07	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	1-4	7	1	L
11/07	Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	4-1	3	0	W
04/07	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	0-5	5	0	L
27/06	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	6-0	13	1	W
20/06	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-3	0-5	6	0	L
13/06	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	0-4	5	2	L

Devonport City (W)

WWWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	4-1	7-2	4	1	W
15/08	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	6-0	9-0	15	0	W
08/08	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	4-0	9-0	7	2	W
01/08	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
18/07	Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-1	2-1	11	1	W
11/07	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	3-1	9	0	W
04/07	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	5-0	8	0	W
27/06	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	4-0	5-0	5	1	W
20/06	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	3-0	6-0	12	0	W
14/06	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	5-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Launceston United (W) vs Devonport City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Devonport City (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Launceston United (W) 8%, draw 11%, Devonport City (W) 81%.

How many goals are expected in Launceston United (W) vs Devonport City (W)?

The model expects 4.54 goals (Launceston United (W) 1.27 · Devonport City (W) 3.27), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Launceston United (W) vs Devonport City (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.