Football · South Korea K League 3 · 07/11, 06:00

Prediction: Mokpo City vs Siheung City AC

Team pages: Mokpo City · Siheung City AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Mokpo City1.04

Siheung City AC1.68

1X2

23% 26% 51%

Mokpo City Draw Siheung City AC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Mokpo City 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Siheung City AC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mokpo City 1–2–3 Siheung City AC (6 last)

Siheung City AC1-1Mokpo City
Mokpo City0-4Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC3-1Mokpo City
Mokpo City3-3Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC5-0Mokpo City
Mokpo City4-3Siheung City AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mokpo City 1479 · Siheung City AC 1530

	Mokpo City	Draw	Siheung City AC
Our model	22%	27%	51%
Market	23%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siheung City AC (rating 1479 vs 1530).
H2H favours Siheung City AC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mokpo City	Siheung City AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.8	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.50

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.77 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.62
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +3’	3.90	3.50	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +20’	4.77	3.62	1.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mokpo City 1–2–3 Siheung City AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 South Korea K League 3	Siheung City AC	1-1 HT 0-0	Mokpo City
24/08/25 South Korea K League 3	Mokpo City	0-4 HT 0-1	Siheung City AC
27/04/25 South Korea K League 3	Siheung City AC	3-1 HT 2-1	Mokpo City
20/07/24 South Korea K League 3	Mokpo City	3-3 HT 1-0	Siheung City AC
07/04/24 South Korea K League 3	Siheung City AC	5-0 HT 2-0	Mokpo City
22/07/23 South Korea K League 3	Mokpo City	4-3 HT 2-1	Siheung City AC

Standings · South Korea K League 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	25	17	5	3	38	22	56
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	25	14	8	3	43	22	50
3	Daejeon Korail	25	13	5	7	36	20	44
4	Busan Trans Corp	25	11	7	7	42	31	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	25	9	10	6	39	35	37
6	Chuncheon FC	25	10	6	9	43	37	36
7	Dangjin Citizen FC	25	10	5	10	47	39	35
8	Gangneung City	25	9	6	10	26	33	33
9	Changwon City	25	7	9	9	27	31	30
10	Ulsan Citizen FC	25	8	5	12	25	28	29
11	Yeoju	25	7	8	10	30	34	29
12	Mokpo City	25	5	10	10	24	40	25
13	Yangpyeong FC	25	4	8	13	30	49	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	25	1	8	16	27	56	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mokpo City	Siheung City AC
Daejeon Korail	1-3 L	2-0 W
Gyeongju HNP	1-1 D	0-1 L
Busan Trans Corp	3-1 W	0-2 L
Jeonbuk Motors II	3-1 W	1-1 D
Pocheon Citizen FC	0-2 L	3-2 W
Dangjin Citizen FC	1-6 L	0-0 D
Gangneung City	2-1 W	1-2 L
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Mokpo City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Daejeon Korail South Korea K League 3	0-1	1-3	9	2	L
11/10	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
04/10	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
13/09	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-1	3-1	6	2	W
06/09	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
30/08	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
22/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-6	4	4	L
11/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
27/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K League 3	0-1	1-4	4	1	L

Siheung City AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K League 3	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
11/10	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-2	5	4	L
03/10	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	0	8	W
13/09	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	3-1	3-1	4	3	W
06/09	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
30/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	3-0	3-2	6	5	W
23/08	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
25/07	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
11/07	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-2	0-2	9	0	L
27/06	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mokpo City vs Siheung City AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Siheung City AC win (51%). Probabilities: Mokpo City 23%, draw 26%, Siheung City AC 51%.

How many goals are expected in Mokpo City vs Siheung City AC?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Mokpo City 1.04 · Siheung City AC 1.68), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mokpo City vs Siheung City AC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.