Football · South Korea K League 3 · 07/11, 06:00

Prediction: Busan Trans Corp vs Jeonbuk Motors II

Team pages: Busan Trans Corp · Jeonbuk Motors II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Busan Trans Corp2.13

Jeonbuk Motors II1.09

1X2

61% 22% 18%

Busan Trans Corp Draw Jeonbuk Motors II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Busan Trans Corp 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLWLWL

Jeonbuk Motors II 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Busan Trans Corp 3–0 Jeonbuk Motors II (3 last)

Jeonbuk Motors II1-2Busan Trans Corp
Busan Trans Corp2-1Jeonbuk Motors II
Jeonbuk Motors II0-1Busan Trans Corp

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Busan Trans Corp 1525 · Jeonbuk Motors II 1409

	Busan Trans Corp	Draw	Jeonbuk Motors II
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Busan Trans Corp (rating 1525 vs 1409).
H2H favours Busan Trans Corp: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Busan Trans Corp	Jeonbuk Motors II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	0.8 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +3’	1.48	4.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan Trans Corp 3–0–0 Jeonbuk Motors II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 South Korea K League 3	Jeonbuk Motors II	1-2 HT 0-1	Busan Trans Corp
07/09/25 South Korea K League 3	Busan Trans Corp	2-1 HT 1-0	Jeonbuk Motors II
10/05/25 South Korea K League 3	Jeonbuk Motors II	0-1 HT 0-1	Busan Trans Corp

Standings · South Korea K League 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	25	17	5	3	38	22	56
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	25	14	8	3	43	22	50
3	Daejeon Korail	25	13	5	7	36	20	44
4	Busan Trans Corp	25	11	7	7	42	31	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	25	9	10	6	39	35	37
6	Chuncheon FC	25	10	6	9	43	37	36
7	Dangjin Citizen FC	25	10	5	10	47	39	35
8	Gangneung City	25	9	6	10	26	33	33
9	Changwon City	25	7	9	9	27	31	30
10	Ulsan Citizen FC	25	8	5	12	25	28	29
11	Yeoju	25	7	8	10	30	34	29
12	Mokpo City	25	5	10	10	24	40	25
13	Yangpyeong FC	25	4	8	13	30	49	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	25	1	8	16	27	56	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Busan Trans Corp	Jeonbuk Motors II
Chuncheon FC	0-1 L	2-3 L
Yeoju	2-1 W	1-2 L
Mokpo City	1-3 L	1-3 L
Pocheon Citizen FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Dangjin Citizen FC	3-5 L	0-2 L
Gangneung City	1-1 D	1-2 L
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Changwon City	4-3 W	1-1 D
Yangpyeong FC	4-2 W	2-5 L
Siheung City AC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 3 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Busan Trans Corp (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Busan Trans Corp

WWWLDLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Chuncheon FC South Korea K League 3	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
10/10	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
04/10	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
19/09	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/09	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	2-3	3-5	7	1	L
06/09	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
22/08	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	3-0	4-3	2	5	W
26/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	4-2	4	7	W
11/07	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-0	2-0	1	0	W

Jeonbuk Motors II

DLLDLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K League 3	1-1	2-2	2	0	D
10/10	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-3	0	3	L
03/10	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
13/09	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-3	0	2	L
29/08	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
23/08	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
26/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
18/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
12/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	2-5	2	5	L
27/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busan Trans Corp vs Jeonbuk Motors II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Busan Trans Corp win (61%). Probabilities: Busan Trans Corp 61%, draw 22%, Jeonbuk Motors II 18%.

How many goals are expected in Busan Trans Corp vs Jeonbuk Motors II?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Busan Trans Corp 2.13 · Jeonbuk Motors II 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Busan Trans Corp vs Jeonbuk Motors II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.