Football · South Korea K3 League · 25/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung City AC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Gyeongju HNP1.1
Siheung City AC1.17
1X2
Gyeongju HNP
Draw
Siheung City AC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gyeongju HNP
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Siheung City AC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gyeongju HNP
2–2–2
Siheung City AC
(6 last)
- Siheung City AC2-1Gyeongju HNP
- Siheung City AC0-0Gyeongju HNP
- Gyeongju HNP2-3Siheung City AC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gyeongju HNP 1498 · Siheung City AC 1541
| Gyeongju HNP | Draw | Siheung City AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siheung City AC (rating 1498 vs 1541).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gyeongju HNP | Siheung City AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 1.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyeongju HNP 2–2–2 Siheung City AC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 South Korea K3 League | Siheung City AC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Gyeongju HNP |
| 31/08/25 South Korea K3 League | Siheung City AC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gyeongju HNP |
| 03/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Siheung City AC |
| 01/09/24 South Korea K3 League | Siheung City AC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gyeongju HNP |
| 03/05/24 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Siheung City AC |
| 28/10/23 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Siheung City AC |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Trans Corp | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 25 |
| 6 | Changwon City | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 7 | Yeoju | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| 8 | Gyeongju HNP | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 19 |
| 10 | Gangneung City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 19 |
| 11 | Chuncheon FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 17 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 16 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 15 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 42 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gyeongju HNP | Siheung City AC |
|---|---|---|
| Busan Trans Corp | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors II | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Chuncheon FC | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Yeoju | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Siheung City AC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gyeongju HNP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Siheung City AC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Daegu FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Jincheon HR South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung City AC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Siheung City AC win (36%). Probabilities: Gyeongju HNP 33%, draw 31%, Siheung City AC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung City AC?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Gyeongju HNP 1.1 · Siheung City AC 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung City AC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.